Model: TIPPSH

Mechal SC vs Arba Minch

PREDICTION

@ 1.73

StatusArchived prediction

KickoffMag 28, 2026 7:00 PM

ResultLOSS1 - 2

StartStarted 45d 6h ago

V2 ConfidenceNONEExpected ROI -9.21% · n=1970

V4 ConfidenceUNKNOWNExpected ROI 0.00% · n=0

Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.

Updated Updated 45d 18h ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is Mechal SC. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: Mechal SC

Shots Rating

Rating unavailable for this archived pick.

Shots on Target

Rating unavailable for this archived pick.

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V2) and market odds.

4/100

Poor value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

Mechal SCHOME

Arba MinchAWAY

LDWDD

Recent form

WLDLW

Avg goals scored

1.40

1.20

Defensive weakness

0.80

1.40

Shots on target for

3.40

2.40

SoT conceded pressure

1.60

3.80

Home splitL-W-D-D-D1.20 scored / 0.60 conceded

Away splitW-D-W-D-W1.40 scored / 0.60 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 1.73. The V2 confidence band is NONE with an expected ROI of -9.21% based on n=1970 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Ethiopia Premier League (et). Odds movement is currently classified as Stable with Low volatility.

Pick1

Odd1.73

V2 BandNONEROI -9.21% · n=1970

V4 BandUNKNOWNROI 0.00% · n=0

Odds TrendStable

VolatilityLow

AI Match Insight

At a short price, the selection appears more probability-based than value-driven. The model does not assign a strong confidence profile here, making the pick more speculative. Mechal SC has produced stronger recent offensive pressure in terms of shots on target.

Current Combo momentum is strong. Recent model performance has improved significantly over the last 7-15 days, suggesting the system is currently adapting well to recent match conditions.

3D: 5.6% 7D: 27.9% 15D: 24.6% 30D: 7.7%

Model insight

Mechal SC – Arba Minch Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 1 at odds 1.73. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSH model profile. The V2 confidence band is NONE, with a historical expected ROI of -9.21% across 1970 similar predictions. The model profile is supported by a broad historical sample, making the long-term estimate more informative. Odds history is still limited because this prediction has only recently appeared in the monitored bookmaker panel. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.

Sample198

Win Rate58.6%

Profit-3.35u

Historical Similar Predictions

Result	Match	Odd	Exp. ROI
WIN	PK Keski-Uusimaa - FC Jazz	1.68	-9.21%
WIN	NWS Spirit FC - St George Saints	1.72	-9.89%
WIN	Njardvik - Grindavik	1.62	-7.35%
WIN	Argentina - Switzerland	1.71	-7.35%
LOSS	Atletico Grau - Carlos Manucci	1.64	-7.35%
LOSS	Dundalk - Drogheda United	1.64	-9.21%
WIN	Cento Cuore Harima - Ococias Kyoto AC	1.72	-9.21%
LOSS	Loudoun United FC - Sporting JAX	1.68	-9.21%

Active Similar Predictions

Match	Pick	Odd	Exp. ROI	Kickoff
Logan Lightning - Capalaba FC	1	1.63	-7.35%	05 Jun 12:30
Guijuelo - CDA Palencia	1	1.70	-9.21%	07 Jun 18:00
FC Iberia 1999 - FC Flora Tallinn	1	1.68	-7.35%	14 Jul 18:00

Pick

1 @ 1.73

Kickoff

Mag 28, 2026 7:00 PM

Confidence

CONF: NONE

Exp. ROI V2

Exp. ROI -9.21% • n=1970

Start

Started 45d 6h ago

Updated

Updated 45d 18h ago