Model: TipA1

Nosaby vs IFK Trelleborg

PREDICTION

@ 2.25

StatusArchived prediction

KickoffAgo 18, 2026 8:30 PM

ResultWIN0 - 3

StartStarted 2h ago

V2 ConfidenceHIGHExpected ROI 7.37% · n=75

V4 ConfidenceHIGHExpected ROI 7.37% · n=75

Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.

Updated Updated 15h 44m ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is IFK Trelleborg. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: IFK TrelleborgGoal/Shots Index — H: 0.151 | A: 0.031

Shots Rating

Shot volume edge from recent matches.

Away edge

Shots on Target

Higher weight signal based on shots on target.

Away edge

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V4) and market odds.

53/100

Good value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

NosabyHOME

IFK TrelleborgAWAY

LWWLW

Recent form

WWWLW

Avg goals scored

1.80

3.00

Defensive weakness

2.00

1.00

Shots on target for

5.00

7.00

SoT conceded pressure

7.60

3.20

Home splitL-W-W-D-W2.40 scored / 1.60 conceded

Away splitW-W-L-D-W2.20 scored / 1.00 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 2 at odds 2.25. The V4 confidence band is HIGH with an expected ROI of 7.37% based on n=75 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Sweden 2.div Södra Götaland (se). Odds movement is currently classified as Stable with Low volatility.

Pick2

Odd2.25

V2 BandHIGHROI 7.37% · n=75

V4 BandHIGHROI 7.37% · n=75

Odds TrendStable

VolatilityLow

AI Match Insight

This looks like a competitive matchup, although the form profile gives the selected side some support. The HIGH confidence band reinforces the selection, with comparable historical cases showing a stronger expected profile. IFK Trelleborg is also generating more shots on target, adding offensive support to the pick.

Current Combo momentum is weak. Recent short-term performance has been below expectations, suggesting that current match conditions may be less favorable for the model.

3D: -15.6% 7D: -24.0% 15D: -4.9% 30D: 1.1%

Model insight

Nosaby – IFK Trelleborg Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 2 at odds 2.25. This prediction is generated by the TipA1 model profile. Both V2 and V4 profiles currently show HIGH confidence, with historical expected ROI values of 7.37% and 7.37%. Historical expected profitability for this profile has been well above average, although future outcomes remain sensitive to market and team-news conditions. Odds history is still limited because this prediction has only recently appeared in the monitored bookmaker panel. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.

Sample68

Win Rate41.2%

Profit-1.14u

Historical Similar Predictions

Result	Match	Odd	Exp. ROI
LOSS	Wexford FC (W) - FC Treaty United (W)	2.38	6.36%
WIN	CSM Ramnicu Valcea - CSM Slatina	2.50	6.36%
LOSS	SK Rapid Psary - Meteor Prague VIII	2.50	6.36%
WIN	Ferroviario de Nampula - Black Bulls	2.35	6.36%
LOSS	Havant and W - Frome Town	2.38	6.36%
LOSS	Alfreton Town - Avro FC	2.50	6.36%
LOSS	SC Freiburg - Crystal Palace	2.35	6.36%
WIN	Bamber Bridge - Avro FC	2.50	6.36%

Active Similar Predictions

Match	Pick	Odd	Exp. ROI	Kickoff
Metalac Gornji - Smederevo	2	2.35	6.36%	19 Aug 19:00
FK Macva Sabac - Radnicki Nis	2	2.45	7.37%	22 Aug 18:30

Pick

2 @ 2.25

Kickoff

Ago 18, 2026 8:30 PM

Confidence

CONF: HIGH

Exp. ROI V2

Exp. ROI 7.37% • n=75

Confidence V4

CONF V4: HIGH

Exp. ROI V4

7.37% • n=75

Start

Started 2h ago

Updated

Updated 15h 44m ago