Model: TipTromba45H

Mirassol U20 vs Ferroviaria SP U20

PREDICTION

@ 4.00

StatusUpcoming

KickoffLug 26, 2026 10:00 PM

ResultPending

StartStarts in 1d 2h

V2 ConfidenceHIGHExpected ROI 6.51% · n=53

V4 ConfidenceHIGHExpected ROI 6.51% · n=53

Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.

Updated Updated 9m ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is Mirassol U20. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: Mirassol U20Goal/Shots Index — H: -0.089 | A: 0.044

Shots Rating

Shot volume edge from recent matches.

Home edge

Shots on Target

Higher weight signal based on shots on target.

Home edge

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V4) and market odds.

65/100

Good value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)

Start odds4.14First seen

Current4.00Now

Max odds4.14Highest point

Min odds4.00Lowest point

VolatilityMediumStable range

TrendDroppingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

Mirassol U20HOME

Ferroviaria SP U20AWAY

DDDLL

Recent form

LWWDW

Avg goals scored

1.20

1.80

Defensive weakness

2.00

0.60

Shots on target for

6.80

5.20

SoT conceded pressure

4.80

3.60

Home splitD-L-L-L-L0.60 scored / 1.80 conceded

Away splitW-D-W1.33 scored / 0.00 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 4.00. The V4 confidence band is HIGH with an expected ROI of 6.51% based on n=53 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Brazil Campeonato Paulista U20 (br). Odds movement is currently classified as Dropping with Medium volatility.

Pick1

Odd4.00

V2 BandHIGHROI 6.51% · n=53

V4 BandHIGHROI 6.51% · n=53

Odds TrendDropping

VolatilityMedium

AI Match Insight

The selection carries significant risk according to both market expectations and recent form indicators. Comparable matches classified within the HIGH confidence range have historically generated positive model outcomes. Mirassol U20 is also generating more shots on target, adding offensive support to the pick.

Current Combo momentum is strong. Recent model performance has improved significantly over the last 7-15 days, suggesting the system is currently adapting well to recent match conditions.

3D: -5.5% 7D: 16.3% 15D: 16.5% 30D: 23.4%

Model insight

Mirassol U20 – Ferroviaria SP U20 Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 1 at odds 4.00. This prediction is generated by the TipTromba45H model profile. Both V2 and V4 profiles currently show HIGH confidence, with historical expected ROI values of 6.51% and 6.51%. Historical expected profitability for this profile is positive, but the edge appears more moderate. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. Market movement remained relatively stable before kickoff, suggesting balanced sentiment around the initial model projection. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.

Sample19

Win Rate0.0%

Profit-19.00u

Historical Similar Predictions

Result	Match	Odd	Exp. ROI
LOSS	Vysocina Jihlava - Pardubice	4.20	6.51%
LOSS	America RJ - Nova Iguacu	4.00	6.51%
LOSS	Carmarthen - Briton Ferry	4.00	6.51%
LOSS	Bala Town - Colwyn Bay	4.00	6.51%
LOSS	Annan Athletic - Queen's Park	4.20	6.51%
LOSS	CA Atlas - Berazategui	4.20	5.21%
LOSS	PVF-CAND II - Ho Chi Minh City	4.10	5.21%
LOSS	Al Shabab Manama - Sitra	4.00	5.21%

Pick

1 @ 4.00

Kickoff

Lug 26, 2026 10:00 PM

Confidence

CONF: HIGH

Exp. ROI V2

Exp. ROI 6.51% • n=53

Confidence V4

CONF V4: HIGH

Exp. ROI V4

6.51% • n=53

Start

Starts in 1d 2h

Updated

Updated 9m ago