Motala AIF FK – Vanersborgs FK

Model: TIPPSH

Motala AIF FK vs Vanersborgs FK

PREDICTION
1
@ 1.63
StatusArchived prediction
KickoffGiu 27, 2026 6:00 PM
ResultLOSS0 - 1
StartStarted 4h 21m ago
V2 ConfidenceNONEExpected ROI -7.35% · n=1010
V4 ConfidenceNONEExpected ROI -7.35% · n=1010
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 6h 33m ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is Motala AIF FK. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: Motala AIF FK

Shots Rating

H
A
i

Shot volume edge from recent matches.

Home edge

Shots on Target

H
A
i

Higher weight signal based on shots on target.

Home edge

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V4) and market odds.

2/100
Poor value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds1.75First seen
Current1.63Now
Max odds1.75Highest point
Min odds1.63Lowest point
VolatilityMediumStable range
TrendDroppingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

Motala AIF FKHOME
VS
Vanersborgs FKAWAY
LWDLW
Recent form
WLLLL
Avg goals scored
1.00
1.40
Defensive weakness
0.60
2.60
Shots on target for
3.60
3.40
SoT conceded pressure
4.40
7.00
Home splitL-D-W-L-W1.00 scored / 1.40 conceded
Away splitW-L-D-D-D1.00 scored / 1.20 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 1.63. The V4 confidence band is NONE with an expected ROI of -7.35% based on n=1010 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Sweden 2.div Norra Götaland (se). Odds movement is currently classified as Dropping with Medium volatility.

Pick1
Odd1.63
V2 BandNONEROI -7.35% · n=1010
V4 BandNONEROI -7.35% · n=1010
Odds TrendDropping
VolatilityMedium

AI Match Insight

Market expectations and recent results both point toward Motala AIF FK as the more reliable side. The model does not assign a strong confidence profile here, making the pick more speculative.

Current Combo momentum is weak. Recent short-term performance has been below expectations, suggesting that current match conditions may be less favorable for the model.
3D: -23.9% 7D: -18.1% 15D: -8.0% 30D: -5.4%
Model insight

Motala AIF FK – Vanersborgs FK Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 1 at odds 1.63. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSH model profile. Both V2 and V4 profiles currently show NONE confidence, with historical expected ROI values of -7.35% and -7.35%. Historical performance for this profile has been negative or unstable, so this signal should be treated with additional caution. The model profile is supported by a broad historical sample, making the long-term estimate more informative. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. The prediction received strong market support after the first appearance. Early prices historically produced the best long-term performance for this model profile. Moderate odds volatility indicates some market disagreement during the pre-match phase. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample172
Win Rate56.4%
Profit-9.24u
Historical Similar Predictions
ResultMatchOddExp. ROI
WINFC Elimai Semey - FK Kyzylzhar1.72-10.11%
WINVelez Sarsfield U20 - Colon U201.64-7.35%
WINBotev Plovdiv - KF Ballkani1.68-6.04%
LOSSMadla - Mandalskameratene1.68-9.21%
LOSSShamrock Rovers (W) - Wexford Youths (W)1.69-7.35%
LOSSFylkir Reykjavik - HK Kopavogur1.70-9.21%
WINSfera FC U20 - Maua FC U201.65-9.21%
WINSkara - Herrestads AIF1.69-4.66%
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Pick
1 @ 1.63
Kickoff
Giu 27, 2026 6:00 PM
Confidence
CONF: NONE
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI -7.35% • n=1010
Confidence V4
Exp. ROI V4
-7.35% • n=1010
Start
Started 4h 21m ago
Updated
Updated 6h 33m ago
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