Model: TIPPSH

Oberwart vs Sturm Graz II

PREDICTION

@ 2.63

StatusArchived prediction

KickoffGiu 26, 2026 7:30 PM

ResultWIN4 - 0

StartStarted 44d 12h ago

V2 ConfidenceLOWExpected ROI 1.59% · n=2341

V4 ConfidenceUNKNOWNExpected ROI 0.00% · n=0

Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.

Updated Updated 44d 15h ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is Oberwart. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: OberwartGoal/Shots Index — H: — | A: —

Shots Rating

Shot volume edge from recent matches.

Home edge

Shots on Target

Higher weight signal based on shots on target.

Home edge

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V2) and market odds.

37/100

Low value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)

Start odds3.00First seen

Current2.70Now

Max odds3.14Highest point

Min odds2.65Lowest point

VolatilityHighStable range

TrendDroppingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

OberwartHOME

Sturm Graz IIAWAY

WLWDW

Recent form

LLLLL

Avg goals scored

3.40

0.40

Defensive weakness

1.40

2.40

Shots on target for

7.80

5.20

SoT conceded pressure

5.00

6.20

Home splitW-W-W-W-W4.00 scored / 0.60 conceded

Away splitL-L-L-L-W1.00 scored / 2.20 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 2.63. The V2 confidence band is LOW with an expected ROI of 1.59% based on n=2341 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Europe Friendlies. Odds movement is currently classified as Dropping with High volatility.

Pick1

Odd2.63

V2 BandLOWROI 1.59% · n=2341

V4 BandUNKNOWNROI 0.00% · n=0

Odds TrendDropping

VolatilityHigh

AI Match Insight

While the odds remain elevated, the underlying metrics suggest the selection may be more competitive than the market implies. If considered, this pick should be approached with caution due to the limited historical confidence. Oberwart has produced stronger recent offensive pressure in terms of shots on target.

Current Combo momentum is mixed. Recent results show alternating performance between short-term and medium-term windows.

3D: -1.9% 7D: 1.6% 15D: -5.9% 30D: -1.3%

Model insight

Oberwart – Sturm Graz II Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 1 at odds 2.63. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSH model profile. The V2 confidence band is LOW, with a historical expected ROI of 1.59% across 2341 similar predictions. The model profile is supported by a broad historical sample, making the long-term estimate more informative. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. The prediction received strong market support after the first appearance. Early prices historically produced the best long-term performance for this model profile. High pre-match volatility suggests increased uncertainty and rapidly changing market conditions. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.

Sample114

Win Rate37.7%

Profit-5.61u

Historical Similar Predictions

Result	Match	Odd	Exp. ROI
LOSS	Academia Anzoategui FC - Portuguesa	2.68	1.59%
LOSS	Polonia Sroda Slaska - Moto Jelcz Olawa	2.62	1.59%
LOSS	KF Fjallabyggd - KV Vesturbaer	2.57	1.59%
WIN	76 Igdir Belediyespor - Fatih Karagumruk	2.46	1.59%
LOSS	Minas Boca U20 - EC Villa Real U20	2.45	1.41%
LOSS	Kvik Halden FK - Mjondalen	2.52	1.59%
LOSS	Bjarg - Sotra	2.45	1.59%
LOSS	FC Tokyo - Machida Zelvia	2.46	1.59%

Active Similar Predictions

Match	Pick	Odd	Exp. ROI	Kickoff
North Star - Logan Lightning	1	2.55	1.59%	23 May 09:00
FC Lahti - FC Ilves	1	2.65	1.59%	30 May 16:00
Boca Juniors Reserves - River Plate Reserves	1	2.40	1.59%	05 Jul 19:00
UAI Urquiza - Argentino Quilmes	1	2.74	1.59%	01 Aug 20:00
Deportivo Recoleta - 2 de Mayo	1	2.43	1.59%	14 Aug 23:30

Pick

1 @ 2.63

Kickoff

Giu 26, 2026 7:30 PM

Confidence

CONF: LOW

Exp. ROI V2

Exp. ROI 1.59% • n=2341

Start

Started 44d 12h ago

Updated

Updated 44d 15h ago