Oberwart – Sturm Graz II

Model: TipTromba35H

Oberwart vs Sturm Graz II

PREDICTION
1
@ 3.00
StatusUpcoming
KickoffGiu 26, 2026 7:30 PM
ResultPending
StartStarts in 1d 13h
V2 ConfidenceMEDIUMExpected ROI 3.85% · n=519
V4 ConfidenceHIGHExpected ROI 6.61% · n=186
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 8m ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is Oberwart. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: Oberwart

Shots Rating

H
A
i

Shot volume edge from recent matches.

Home edge

Shots on Target

H
A
i

Higher weight signal based on shots on target.

Home edge

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V4) and market odds.

58/100
Good value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds3.00First seen
Current3.05Now
Max odds3.05Highest point
Min odds3.00Lowest point
VolatilityLowStable range
TrendRisingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

OberwartHOME
VS
Sturm Graz IIAWAY
LWDWW
Recent form
LLLLD
Avg goals scored
3.20
0.60
Defensive weakness
1.40
1.80
Shots on target for
7.20
4.60
SoT conceded pressure
5.40
5.60
Home splitW-W-W-W-W4.00 scored / 0.60 conceded
Away splitL-L-L-W1.25 scored / 1.75 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 3.00. The V4 confidence band is HIGH with an expected ROI of 6.61% based on n=186 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Europe Friendlies. Odds movement is currently classified as Rising with Low volatility.

Pick1
Odd3.00
V2 BandMEDIUMROI 3.85% · n=519
V4 BandHIGHROI 6.61% · n=186
Odds TrendRising
VolatilityLow

AI Match Insight

The market offers a relatively high price, but recent statistical trends still provide meaningful support for Oberwart. This sits in a middle confidence range, suggesting a balanced but not especially dominant setup. Oberwart has produced stronger recent offensive pressure in terms of shots on target.

Current Combo momentum is weak. Recent short-term performance has been below expectations, suggesting that current match conditions may be less favorable for the model.
3D: -29.5% 7D: -6.6% 15D: -9.6% 30D: -2.6%
Model insight

Oberwart – Sturm Graz II Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 1 at odds 3.00. This prediction is generated by the TipTromba35H model profile. The V2 confidence band is MEDIUM, with a historical expected ROI of 3.85% across 519 similar predictions. The V4 confidence band is HIGH, with a historical expected ROI of 6.61% across 186 historical samples. Historical expected profitability for this profile is positive, but the edge appears more moderate. The model profile is supported by a broad historical sample, making the long-term estimate more informative. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. Market movement remained relatively stable before kickoff, suggesting balanced sentiment around the initial model projection. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
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Pick
1 @ 3.00
Kickoff
Giu 26, 2026 7:30 PM
Confidence
CONF: MEDIUM
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI 3.85% • n=519
Confidence V4
Exp. ROI V4
6.61% • n=186
Start
Starts in 1d 13h
Updated
Updated 8m ago
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