Model: TIPPSH

MTK Budapest vs Kisvarda FC

PREDICTION

@ 2.03

StatusUpcoming

KickoffSet 05, 2026 7:30 PM

ResultPending

StartStarts in 2d 19h

V2 ConfidenceLOWExpected ROI 1.04% · n=5438

V4 ConfidenceUNKNOWNExpected ROI 0.00% · n=0

Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.

Updated Updated 13m ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is MTK Budapest. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: MTK BudapestGoal/Shots Index — H: 0.016 | A: -0.033

Shots Rating

Shot volume edge from recent matches.

Home edge

Shots on Target

Higher weight signal based on shots on target.

Home edge

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V2) and market odds.

29/100

Low value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)

Start odds2.08First seen

Current2.03Now

Max odds2.08Highest point

Min odds2.03Lowest point

VolatilityLowStable range

TrendDroppingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

MTK BudapestHOME

Kisvarda FCAWAY

DWDLD

Recent form

DDLLW

Avg goals scored

2.00

1.20

Defensive weakness

2.00

1.40

Shots on target for

7.20

4.80

SoT conceded pressure

6.00

6.20

Home splitW-L-W-D-W2.20 scored / 1.00 conceded

Away splitL-W-L-L-L1.20 scored / 1.80 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 2.03. The V2 confidence band is LOW with an expected ROI of 1.04% based on n=5438 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Hungary NB I (hu). Odds movement is currently classified as Dropping with Low volatility.

Pick1

Odd2.03

V2 BandLOWROI 1.04% · n=5438

V4 BandUNKNOWNROI 0.00% · n=0

Odds TrendDropping

VolatilityLow

AI Match Insight

With no dominant recent form edge, the pick should be interpreted mainly through the model's historical profile. Confidence remains limited, so this should be read as a cautious lean rather than a strong prediction. Shot-on-target data gives additional support to MTK Budapest's attacking profile.

Current Combo momentum is mixed. Recent results show alternating performance between short-term and medium-term windows.

3D: -11.1% 7D: 0.5% 15D: 16.2% 30D: 6.7%

Model insight

MTK Budapest – Kisvarda FC Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 1 at odds 2.03. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSH model profile. The V2 confidence band is LOW, with a historical expected ROI of 1.04% across 5438 similar predictions. The model profile is supported by a broad historical sample, making the long-term estimate more informative. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. Market movement remained relatively stable before kickoff, suggesting balanced sentiment around the initial model projection. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.

Sample955

Win Rate48.9%

Profit-19.14u

Historical Similar Predictions

Result	Match	Odd	Exp. ROI
WIN	Yaracuyanos - Urena SC	2.01	1.31%
WIN	Atletico El Vigia - Atletico Barinas	2.03	1.04%
LOSS	Baltika Kaliningrad - Krylia Sovetov	1.86	1.04%
WIN	Slovacko II - SFK Vrchovina	1.88	1.04%
LOSS	HNK Rijeka U19 - Kustosija U19	1.88	1.04%
WIN	Carl Zeiss Jena - VSG Altglienicke	2.20	1.04%
LOSS	JBK - Huima/Urho	2.13	1.04%
LOSS	Stourbridge - Leamington	2.05	1.31%

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Pick

1 @ 2.03

Kickoff

Set 05, 2026 7:30 PM

Confidence

CONF: LOW

Exp. ROI V2

Exp. ROI 1.04% • n=5438

Start

Starts in 2d 19h

Updated

Updated 13m ago