Model: TipA1

Napier City Rovers vs Miramar Rangers

PREDICTION

@ 3.10

StatusUpcoming

KickoffAgo 23, 2026 6:00 AM

ResultPending

StartStarts in 1d 2h

V2 ConfidenceELITEExpected ROI 12.47% · n=254

V4 ConfidenceELITEExpected ROI 12.47% · n=254

Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.

Updated Updated 6h 58m ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is Miramar Rangers. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: Miramar RangersGoal/Shots Index — H: 0.034 | A: 0.065

Shots Rating

Shot volume edge from recent matches.

Away edge

Shots on Target

Higher weight signal based on shots on target.

Away edge

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V4) and market odds.

79/100

Excellent value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)

Start odds3.19First seen

Current3.16Now

Max odds3.19Highest point

Min odds3.11Lowest point

VolatilityLowStable range

TrendDroppingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

Napier City RoversHOME

Miramar RangersAWAY

LWWWW

Recent form

WDLDW

Avg goals scored

3.00

Defensive weakness

1.20

0.60

Shots on target for

6.80

11.60

SoT conceded pressure

2.80

2.20

Home splitW-W-W-D-W3.00 scored / 0.60 conceded

Away splitL-D-W-W-D1.80 scored / 1.40 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 2 at odds 3.10. The V4 confidence band is ELITE with an expected ROI of 12.47% based on n=254 historical similar picks. The match belongs to New Zealand Central League (nz). Odds movement is currently classified as Dropping with Low volatility.

Pick2

Odd3.10

V2 BandELITEROI 12.47% · n=254

V4 BandELITEROI 12.47% · n=254

Odds TrendDropping

VolatilityLow

AI Match Insight

The elevated odds reflect a naturally higher-risk profile, especially because recent form does not clearly favor Miramar Rangers. Historical model performance remains supportive, with similar ELITE underdog setups showing encouraging long-term results. Miramar Rangers is also generating more shots on target, adding offensive support to the pick.

Current Combo momentum is strong. Recent model performance has improved significantly over the last 7-15 days, suggesting the system is currently adapting well to recent match conditions.

3D: 48.2% 7D: 16.8% 15D: 5.3% 30D: 4.4%

Model insight

Napier City Rovers – Miramar Rangers Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 2 at odds 3.10. This prediction is generated by the TipA1 model profile. Both V2 and V4 profiles currently show ELITE confidence, with historical expected ROI values of 12.47% and 12.47%. Historical expected profitability for this profile has been well above average, although future outcomes remain sensitive to market and team-news conditions. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. Market movement remained relatively stable before kickoff, suggesting balanced sentiment around the initial model projection. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.

Sample38

Win Rate31.6%

Profit-1.70u

Historical Similar Predictions

Result	Match	Odd	Exp. ROI
WIN	Augnablik Kopavogur (W) - KT Reykjavik (W)	3.10	12.47%
LOSS	Hearts - Rapid Vienna	3.00	12.47%
WIN	JKS Jaroslaw - Wieczysta Krakow II	3.00	12.47%
LOSS	Widzew Lodz II - MKS Swit Nowy Dwor Mazowiecki	3.20	12.47%
WIN	Bromsgrove - Anstey Nomads	3.10	12.47%
LOSS	Caernarfon Town - Colwyn Bay	3.20	12.47%
LOSS	CDT Real Oruro U19 - GV San Jose U19	3.00	9.73%
WIN	Deportivo Muniz Reserves - CA Atlas Reserves	2.90	12.47%

Active Similar Predictions

Match	Pick	Odd	Exp. ROI	Kickoff
Kraluv Dvur - FC Pisek	2	3.10	12.47%	22 Aug 17:00
Zamora - UCV	2	2.88	12.47%	22 Aug 22:00
Kocaelispor - Amedspor	2	2.90	12.47%	23 Aug 19:00

Pick

2 @ 3.10

Kickoff

Ago 23, 2026 6:00 AM

Confidence

CONF: ELITE

Exp. ROI V2

Exp. ROI 12.47% • n=254

Confidence V4

CONF V4: ELITE

Exp. ROI V4

12.47% • n=254

Start

Starts in 1d 2h

Updated

Updated 6h 58m ago