Narpes Kraft vs TP-47
📊 Match Analysis
Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.
Game Context
The model side is TP-47. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.
Edge: TP-47Value Index
Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V2) and market odds.
Odds Movement
📊 Team Form (Last 5)
Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.
Quick Analysis
The StochasticBet model recommends 2 at odds 2.88. The V2 confidence band is MEDIUM with an expected ROI of 4.96% based on n=166 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Finland Kakkonen Group C (fi). Odds movement is currently classified as Rising with High volatility.
AI Match Insight
From a statistical perspective, the difference between the two teams may be smaller than the current price indicates. There is some statistical support behind the pick, but the historical signal is not strong enough to be aggressive. TP-47 is also generating more shots on target, adding offensive support to the pick.
Narpes Kraft – TP-47 Betting Analysis
| Result | Match | Odd | Exp. ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| WIN | KF Drita - FK Kauno Zalgiris | 2.85 | 4.96% |
| LOSS | Fencibles United - East Coast Bays | 2.81 | 4.96% |
| LOSS | Dodoma Jiji FC - JKT Tanzania | 3.05 | 4.96% |
| WIN | Santamarina Tandil - Club Villa Mitre | 2.65 | 4.13% |
| LOSS | Santamarina Tandil - Kimberley Mar del Plata | 3.01 | 4.96% |
| LOSS | Deportes Copiapo - Santiago Wanderers | 2.92 | 4.96% |
| WIN | New Zealand (W) - Haiti (W) | 2.86 | 4.96% |
| WIN | Maldives - Afghanistan | 2.63 | 4.13% |
| Match | Pick | Odd | Exp. ROI | Kickoff |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Retro FC Brasil - America RN | 2 | 2.70 | 3.31% | 30 Apr 02:30 |