Model: TIPPSH
National Bank – El Gounah
PREDICTION
1
@ 1.85
StatusArchived prediction
KickoffMag 17, 2026 6:00 PM
ResultLOSS1 - 1
StartStarted 9d 6h ago
V2 ConfidenceHIGHExpected ROI 5.21% · n=76
V4 ConfidenceHIGHExpected ROI 5.21% · n=76
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 9d 11h ago
Team Form & Goal Trends
Recent form based on completed matches before kickoff.
| Metric | National Bank | El Gounah |
|---|---|---|
| Last 5 form | D-L-D-W-W | D-L-L-D-D |
| Avg goals scored | 1.60 | 0.80 |
| Avg goals conceded | 1.20 | 1.20 |
| Home/Away form | D-L-D-W-W (home) | D-L-D-W-D (away) |
| Home/Away avg goals | 1.40 scored / 1.20 conceded | 0.80 scored / 0.80 conceded |
| Shots on target | 5.20 for / 2.60 against | 2.60 for / 4.40 against |
| Home/Away shots on target | 5.00 for / 2.00 against (home) | 2.20 for / 3.40 against (away) |
AI Match Insight
In a fairly competitive price range, recent form gives National Bank a useful statistical edge. The confidence band strengthens the case for the pick beyond the basic market price. National Bank is also generating more shots on target, adding offensive support to the pick.
Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds1.76First seen
Current1.85Now
Max odds1.85Highest point
Min odds1.72Lowest point
VolatilityMediumStable range
TrendRisingShort term
Model insight
National Bank – El Gounah Betting Analysis
The model currently selects 1 at odds 1.85. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSH model profile. Both V2 and V4 profiles currently show HIGH confidence, with historical expected ROI values of 5.21% and 5.21%. Historical expected profitability for this profile is positive, but the edge appears more moderate. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. The market moved significantly against the initial model price before kickoff. Historically, large late odds increases may indicate external factors not fully captured by the statistical framework. Moderate odds volatility indicates some market disagreement during the pre-match phase. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample8
Win Rate50.0%
Profit-0.12u
Historical Similar Predictions
| Result | Match | Odd | Exp. ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| WIN | Keflavik - Thor Akureyri | 1.82 | 6.72% |
| WIN | Henan U20 - Lanzhou Longyuan Athletic U20 | 2.04 | 6.72% |
| LOSS | Antwerp - Standard Liege | 2.02 | 5.21% |
| WIN | Al-Ahli Doha U19 - Muaither SC U19 | 1.93 | 5.21% |
| LOSS | Vikingur Reykjavik - Breidablik | 1.83 | 5.21% |
| LOSS | Paysandu - Brusque | 1.95 | 5.21% |
| WIN | JaPS - Klubi-04 | 2.09 | 5.21% |
Pick
1 @ 1.85
Kickoff
Mag 17, 2026 6:00 PM
Confidence
CONF: HIGH
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI 5.21% • n=76
Confidence V4
Exp. ROI V4
5.21% • n=76
Start
Started 9d 6h ago
Updated
Updated 9d 11h ago