National Bank – El Gounah

Model: TIPPSH

National Bank vs El Gounah

PREDICTION
1
@ 1.85
StatusArchived prediction
KickoffMag 17, 2026 6:00 PM
ResultLOSS1 - 1
StartStarted 55d 12h ago
V2 ConfidenceHIGHExpected ROI 5.21% · n=76
V4 ConfidenceHIGHExpected ROI 5.21% · n=76
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 55d 17h ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is National Bank. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: National Bank

Shots Rating

H
A
Rating unavailable for this archived pick.

Shots on Target

H
A
Rating unavailable for this archived pick.

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V4) and market odds.

41/100
Low value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds1.76First seen
Current1.85Now
Max odds1.85Highest point
Min odds1.72Lowest point
VolatilityMediumStable range
TrendRisingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

National BankHOME
VS
El GounahAWAY
DLDWW
Recent form
DLLDD
Avg goals scored
1.60
0.80
Defensive weakness
1.20
1.20
Shots on target for
5.20
2.60
SoT conceded pressure
2.60
4.40
Home splitD-L-D-W-W1.40 scored / 1.20 conceded
Away splitD-L-D-W-D0.80 scored / 0.80 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 1.85. The V4 confidence band is HIGH with an expected ROI of 5.21% based on n=76 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Egypt Division 1 (eg). Odds movement is currently classified as Rising with Medium volatility.

Pick1
Odd1.85
V2 BandHIGHROI 5.21% · n=76
V4 BandHIGHROI 5.21% · n=76
Odds TrendRising
VolatilityMedium

AI Match Insight

In a fairly competitive price range, recent form gives National Bank a useful statistical edge. The model places this selection in a historically favorable confidence range. National Bank has produced stronger recent offensive pressure in terms of shots on target.

Current Combo momentum is mixed. Recent results show alternating performance between short-term and medium-term windows.
3D: 39.2% 7D: 14.6% 15D: -5.7% 30D: -0.7%
Model insight

National Bank – El Gounah Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 1 at odds 1.85. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSH model profile. Both V2 and V4 profiles currently show HIGH confidence, with historical expected ROI values of 5.21% and 5.21%. Historical expected profitability for this profile is positive, but the edge appears more moderate. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. The market moved significantly against the initial model price before kickoff. Historically, large late odds increases may indicate external factors not fully captured by the statistical framework. Moderate odds volatility indicates some market disagreement during the pre-match phase. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample11
Win Rate63.6%
Profit+2.70u
Historical Similar Predictions
ResultMatchOddExp. ROI
WINBotafogo SP - Avai1.966.72%
WINUniversity NSW U20 - St George Saints U201.966.72%
WINJincheon HR - Gijang United1.906.72%
WINKeflavik - Thor Akureyri1.826.72%
WINHenan U20 - Lanzhou Longyuan Athletic U202.046.72%
LOSSAntwerp - Standard Liege2.025.21%
WINAl-Ahli Doha U19 - Muaither SC U191.935.21%
LOSSVikingur Reykjavik - Breidablik1.835.21%
Pick
1 @ 1.85
Kickoff
Mag 17, 2026 6:00 PM
Confidence
CONF: HIGH
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI 5.21% • n=76
Confidence V4
Exp. ROI V4
5.21% • n=76
Start
Started 55d 12h ago
Updated
Updated 55d 17h ago
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