NEC FC Bugolobi vs Lugazi FC
📊 Match Analysis
Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.
Game Context
The model side is NEC FC Bugolobi. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.
Edge: NEC FC BugolobiGoal/Shots Index — H: 0.095 | A: 0.023Value Index
Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V2) and market odds.
Odds Movement
📊 Team Form (Last 5)
Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.
Quick Analysis
The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 1.63. The V2 confidence band is NONE with an expected ROI of -6.04% based on n=271 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Uganda Premier League (ug). Odds movement is currently classified as Rising with High volatility.
AI Match Insight
Market expectations and recent results both point toward NEC FC Bugolobi as the more reliable side. This selection carries a lower-confidence signal, so the risk profile remains elevated.
NEC FC Bugolobi – Lugazi FC Betting Analysis
| Result | Match | Odd | Exp. ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| LOSS | PSV Reserves - Ajax Reserves | 1.65 | -4.66% |
| WIN | AZ Reserves - FC Utrecht Reserves | 1.65 | -9.21% |
| LOSS | Forest Green - Altrincham | 1.68 | -6.04% |
| LOSS | Charlton U21 - Wigan U21 | 1.63 | -7.35% |
| WIN | Huddersfield U21 - QPR U21 | 1.71 | -7.35% |
| WIN | Olimpija Ljubljana U19 - NK Celje U19 | 1.69 | -7.35% |
| LOSS | Yemen U20 - Cambodia U20 | 1.67 | -9.21% |
| WIN | Harrogate Town - Gateshead | 1.63 | -4.66% |
| Match | Pick | Odd | Exp. ROI | Kickoff |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Logan Lightning - Capalaba FC | 1 | 1.63 | -7.35% | 05 Jun 12:30 |
| Guijuelo - CDA Palencia | 1 | 1.70 | -9.21% | 07 Jun 18:00 |
| Singida Black Stars - Namungo FC | 1 | 1.70 | -9.21% | 01 Sep 18:00 |
| Sheff Utd - Bolton | 1 | 1.67 | -9.21% | 01 Sep 20:45 |
| Rubio Nu - Sportivo San Lorenzo | 1 | 1.69 | -9.21% | 01 Sep 21:00 |
| West Brom - Charlton | 1 | 1.74 | -7.35% | 02 Sep 20:45 |
| Olimpia Asuncion - Guarani Asuncion | 1 | 1.75 | -9.21% | 02 Sep 23:30 |
| Lech Poznan - Jagiellonia Bialystok | 1 | 1.63 | -9.21% | 03 Sep 20:30 |