NEC FC Bugolobi – Lugazi FC

Model: TIPPSH

NEC FC Bugolobi vs Lugazi FC

PREDICTION
1
@ 1.63
StatusArchived prediction
KickoffSet 01, 2026 5:00 PM
ResultWIN3 - 1
StartStarted 51m ago
V2 ConfidenceNONEExpected ROI -6.04% · n=271
V4 ConfidenceUNKNOWNExpected ROI 0.00% · n=0
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 2h 53m ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is NEC FC Bugolobi. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: NEC FC BugolobiGoal/Shots Index — H: 0.095 | A: 0.023

Shots Rating

H
A
i

Shot volume edge from recent matches.

Home edge

Shots on Target

H
A
i

Higher weight signal based on shots on target.

Home edge

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V2) and market odds.

2/100
Poor value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds1.50First seen
Current1.63Now
Max odds1.66Highest point
Min odds1.49Lowest point
VolatilityHighStable range
TrendRisingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

NEC FC BugolobiHOME
VS
Lugazi FCAWAY
WWLWW
Recent form
LWLDD
Avg goals scored
2.00
0.60
Defensive weakness
0.80
1.00
Shots on target for
4.40
4.00
SoT conceded pressure
4.40
6.20
Home splitW-D-L-W-W1.40 scored / 1.20 conceded
Away splitL-D-D-W-D0.60 scored / 0.60 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 1.63. The V2 confidence band is NONE with an expected ROI of -6.04% based on n=271 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Uganda Premier League (ug). Odds movement is currently classified as Rising with High volatility.

Pick1
Odd1.63
V2 BandNONEROI -6.04% · n=271
V4 BandUNKNOWNROI 0.00% · n=0
Odds TrendRising
VolatilityHigh

AI Match Insight

Market expectations and recent results both point toward NEC FC Bugolobi as the more reliable side. This selection carries a lower-confidence signal, so the risk profile remains elevated.

Current Combo momentum is positive. Recent Combo selections remain profitable across multiple recent windows, indicating stable short-term performance.
3D: 1.9% 7D: 4.4% 15D: 18.3% 30D: 7.7%
Model insight

NEC FC Bugolobi – Lugazi FC Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 1 at odds 1.63. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSH model profile. The V2 confidence band is NONE, with a historical expected ROI of -6.04% across 271 similar predictions. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. The market moved significantly against the initial model price before kickoff. Historically, large late odds increases may indicate external factors not fully captured by the statistical framework. High pre-match volatility suggests increased uncertainty and rapidly changing market conditions. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample499
Win Rate61.1%
Profit+12.29u
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WINHuddersfield U21 - QPR U211.71-7.35%
WINOlimpija Ljubljana U19 - NK Celje U191.69-7.35%
LOSSYemen U20 - Cambodia U201.67-9.21%
WINHarrogate Town - Gateshead1.63-4.66%
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Pick
1 @ 1.63
Kickoff
Set 01, 2026 5:00 PM
Confidence
CONF: NONE
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI -6.04% • n=271
Start
Started 51m ago
Updated
Updated 2h 53m ago
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