Newport County vs Rochdale
📊 Match Analysis
Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.
Game Context
The model side is Newport County. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.
Edge: Newport CountyGoal/Shots Index — H: -0.196 | A: -0.008Value Index
Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V2) and market odds.
Odds Movement
📊 Team Form (Last 5)
Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.
Quick Analysis
The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 3.04. The V2 confidence band is LOW with an expected ROI of 0.01% based on n=821 historical similar picks. The match belongs to England League 2 (gb). Odds movement is currently classified as Dropping with Medium volatility.
AI Match Insight
Although the selection comes at relatively high odds, the recent statistical profile appears more balanced than the market suggests. The model does not assign a strong confidence profile here, making the pick more speculative. Shot-on-target data gives additional support to Newport County's attacking profile.
Newport County – Rochdale Betting Analysis
| Result | Match | Odd | Exp. ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| LOSS | KF Drenica Skenderaj - KF Dukagjini | 3.10 | 0.01% |
| LOSS | Bergantinos - Lugo | 3.10 | 0.01% |
| LOSS | Workington - Redcar Athletic | 3.02 | 0.01% |
| LOSS | Hapoel Afula - Maccabi Bnei Raina | 3.00 | 0.01% |
| LOSS | CSD Amatitlan - Quiche FC | 3.20 | 0.01% |
| WIN | FK Bokelj - Sutjeska Niksic | 3.00 | 0.01% |
| WIN | AD Marco 09 - Pacos Ferreira | 3.10 | 0.01% |
| LOSS | Polissya Zhytomyr II - FC Metalist Kharkiv | 3.00 | 0.01% |
| Match | Pick | Odd | Exp. ROI | Kickoff |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Debreceni VSC - Gyori ETO | 1 | 3.00 | 0.01% | 15 Aug 17:00 |
| CD Universitario - Union Cocle | 1 | 3.10 | 0.01% | 16 Aug 03:30 |