Model: TIPPSH

NK Nafta 1903 vs NK Primorje Ajdovscina

PREDICTION

@ 2.46

StatusArchived prediction

KickoffMag 31, 2026 7:00 PM

ResultWIN1 - 0

StartStarted 47d 13h ago

V2 ConfidenceLOWExpected ROI 1.59% · n=2341

V4 ConfidenceUNKNOWNExpected ROI 0.00% · n=0

Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.

Updated Updated 47d 15h ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is NK Nafta 1903. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: NK Nafta 1903

Shots Rating

Rating unavailable for this archived pick.

Shots on Target

Rating unavailable for this archived pick.

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V2) and market odds.

35/100

Low value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)

Start odds2.28First seen

Current2.46Now

Max odds2.46Highest point

Min odds2.25Lowest point

VolatilityHighStable range

TrendRisingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

NK Nafta 1903HOME

NK Primorje AjdovscinaAWAY

WDDLW

Recent form

LDLDL

Avg goals scored

1.00

0.00

Defensive weakness

0.80

1.40

Shots on target for

3.80

2.20

SoT conceded pressure

3.60

5.40

Home splitW-D-W-W-W1.80 scored / 0.60 conceded

Away splitL-D-L-L-L0.20 scored / 1.60 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 2.46. The V2 confidence band is LOW with an expected ROI of 1.59% based on n=2341 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Slovenia Prva Liga Play-Offs (si). Odds movement is currently classified as Rising with High volatility.

Pick1

Odd2.46

V2 BandLOWROI 1.59% · n=2341

V4 BandUNKNOWNROI 0.00% · n=0

Odds TrendRising

VolatilityHigh

AI Match Insight

Although the odds are relatively high, NK Nafta 1903 shows enough recent performance support to make the pick interesting from a risk/reward perspective. If considered, this pick should be approached with caution due to the limited historical confidence. NK Nafta 1903 is also generating more shots on target, adding offensive support to the pick.

Current Combo momentum is strong. Recent model performance has improved significantly over the last 7-15 days, suggesting the system is currently adapting well to recent match conditions.

3D: -0.9% 7D: 15.3% 15D: 21.2% 30D: 10.3%

Model insight

NK Nafta 1903 – NK Primorje Ajdovscina Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 1 at odds 2.46. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSH model profile. The V2 confidence band is LOW, with a historical expected ROI of 1.59% across 2341 similar predictions. The model profile is supported by a broad historical sample, making the long-term estimate more informative. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. The market moved significantly against the initial model price before kickoff. Historically, large late odds increases may indicate external factors not fully captured by the statistical framework. Moderate odds volatility indicates some market disagreement during the pre-match phase. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.

Sample122

Win Rate41.8%

Profit-0.52u

Historical Similar Predictions

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LOSS	Sao Luis MA - Pinheiro AC	2.35	1.59%
WIN	FK Jablonec - FC Kharkiv	2.26	1.59%
LOSS	Barnet - Watford	2.35	1.41%
LOSS	Shanghai Shenhua (W) - Henan (W)	2.47	1.59%

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Pick

1 @ 2.46

Kickoff

Mag 31, 2026 7:00 PM

Confidence

CONF: LOW

Exp. ROI V2

Exp. ROI 1.59% • n=2341

Start

Started 47d 13h ago

Updated

Updated 47d 15h ago