Model: TIPPSH
NK Nafta 1903 – NK Primorje Ajdovscina
PREDICTION
1
@ 2.46
StatusArchived prediction
KickoffMag 31, 2026 7:00 PM
ResultWIN1 - 0
StartStarted 2d ago
V2 ConfidenceLOWExpected ROI 1.59% · n=2341
V4 ConfidenceUNKNOWNExpected ROI 0.00% · n=0
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 2d 2h ago
Team Form & Goal Trends
Recent form based on completed matches before kickoff.
| Metric | NK Nafta 1903 | NK Primorje Ajdovscina |
|---|---|---|
| Last 5 form | W-D-D-L-W | L-D-L-D-L |
| Avg goals scored | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| Avg goals conceded | 0.80 | 1.40 |
| Home/Away form | W-D-W-W-W (home) | L-D-L-L-L (away) |
| Home/Away avg goals | 1.80 scored / 0.60 conceded | 0.20 scored / 1.60 conceded |
| Shots on target | 3.80 for / 3.60 against | 2.20 for / 5.40 against |
| Home/Away shots on target | 4.00 for / 3.67 against (home) | 2.75 for / 5.25 against (away) |
AI Match Insight
Despite entering the match at a generous price, NK Nafta 1903 has produced enough positive indicators to justify attention. If considered, this pick should be approached with caution due to the limited historical confidence. NK Nafta 1903 has produced stronger recent offensive pressure in terms of shots on target.
Current Combo momentum is strong. Recent model performance has improved significantly over the last 7-15 days, suggesting the system is currently adapting well to recent match conditions.
3D: -0.9%
7D: 15.3%
15D: 21.2%
30D: 10.3%
Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds2.28First seen
Current2.46Now
Max odds2.46Highest point
Min odds2.25Lowest point
VolatilityHighStable range
TrendRisingShort term
Model insight
NK Nafta 1903 – NK Primorje Ajdovscina Betting Analysis
The model currently selects 1 at odds 2.46. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSH model profile. The V2 confidence band is LOW, with a historical expected ROI of 1.59% across 2341 similar predictions. The model profile is supported by a broad historical sample, making the long-term estimate more informative. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. The market moved significantly against the initial model price before kickoff. Historically, large late odds increases may indicate external factors not fully captured by the statistical framework. Moderate odds volatility indicates some market disagreement during the pre-match phase. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample46
Win Rate54.3%
Profit+14.01u
Historical Similar Predictions
| Result | Match | Odd | Exp. ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| WIN | Quilmes Reserves - Deportivo Laferrere Reserves | 2.32 | 1.59% |
| LOSS | Club Deportes Santa Cruz - Deportes Copiapo | 2.42 | 1.59% |
| WIN | Itabirito (W) - Clube Atletico Piauiense (W) | 2.30 | 1.59% |
| LOSS | Olimpico Totana - Real Murcia B | 2.31 | 1.59% |
| WIN | Kataller Toyama - Tegevajaro Miyazaki | 2.49 | 1.59% |
| WIN | University NSW - Wollongong Wolves | 2.35 | 1.59% |
| WIN | Tacoma Stars - FC Olympia | 2.64 | 1.59% |
| LOSS | Fort Wayne FC - Antelope Valley Alta | 2.23 | 1.04% |
Active Similar Predictions
| Match | Pick | Odd | Exp. ROI | Kickoff |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| North Star - Logan Lightning | 1 | 2.55 | 1.59% | 23 May 09:00 |
| FC Lahti - FC Ilves | 1 | 2.65 | 1.59% | 30 May 16:00 |
Pick
1 @ 2.46
Kickoff
Mag 31, 2026 7:00 PM
Confidence
CONF: LOW
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI 1.59% • n=2341
Start
Started 2d ago
Updated
Updated 2d 2h ago