Estrela de Marco U20 – Bahia de Feira U20

Model: TIPPSH

Estrela de Marco U20 vs Bahia de Feira U20

PREDICTION
1
@ 1.77
StatusArchived prediction
KickoffMag 30, 2026 10:00 PM
ResultWIN2 - 1
StartStarted 48d 9h ago
V2 ConfidenceLOWExpected ROI 1.04% · n=5438
V4 ConfidenceLOWExpected ROI 1.63% · n=470
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 48d 16h ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is Estrela de Marco U20. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: Estrela de Marco U20

Shots Rating

H
A
Rating unavailable for this archived pick.

Shots on Target

H
A
Rating unavailable for this archived pick.

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V4) and market odds.

27/100
Low value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds1.57First seen
Current1.77Now
Max odds1.77Highest point
Min odds1.57Lowest point
VolatilityHighStable range
TrendRisingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

Estrela de Marco U20HOME
VS
Bahia de Feira U20AWAY
WDLWD
Recent form
LLLWW
Avg goals scored
1.40
2.00
Defensive weakness
1.00
2.00
Shots on target for
4.00
3.60
SoT conceded pressure
4.20
5.60
Home splitW-L-W-W2.00 scored / 1.00 conceded
Away splitL-L1.00 scored / 2.00 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 1.77. The V4 confidence band is LOW with an expected ROI of 1.63% based on n=470 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Brazil Campeonato Baiano U20 (br). Odds movement is currently classified as Rising with High volatility.

Pick1
Odd1.77
V2 BandLOWROI 1.04% · n=5438
V4 BandLOWROI 1.63% · n=470
Odds TrendRising
VolatilityHigh

AI Match Insight

The price is not extreme, and recent results provide a reasonable statistical basis for the pick. Confidence remains limited, so this should be read as a cautious lean rather than a strong prediction.

Current Combo momentum is strong. Recent model performance has improved significantly over the last 7-15 days, suggesting the system is currently adapting well to recent match conditions.
3D: -0.9% 7D: 15.3% 15D: 21.2% 30D: 10.3%
Model insight

Estrela de Marco U20 – Bahia de Feira U20 Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 1 at odds 1.77. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSH model profile. Both V2 and V4 profiles currently show LOW confidence, with historical expected ROI values of 1.04% and 1.63%. The model profile is supported by a broad historical sample, making the long-term estimate more informative. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. The market moved significantly against the initial model price before kickoff. Historically, large late odds increases may indicate external factors not fully captured by the statistical framework. High pre-match volatility suggests increased uncertainty and rapidly changing market conditions. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample233
Win Rate45.9%
Profit-32.00u
Historical Similar Predictions
ResultMatchOddExp. ROI
WINItabirito U20 - Social FC MG U201.971.31%
WINZrinjski Mostar - HSK Posusje1.971.31%
WINOne Knoxville SC - Fort Wayne FC1.791.04%
LOSSCaen - Paris 13 Atletico1.981.31%
LOSSPerth SC - Western Knights1.861.04%
WINFC Fredericia - CD Mafra1.811.04%
LOSSGyeongnam FC - Yeoju1.821.04%
WINOH Leuven - Lommel1.771.31%
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Pick
1 @ 1.77
Kickoff
Mag 30, 2026 10:00 PM
Confidence
CONF: LOW
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI 1.04% • n=5438
Confidence V4
Exp. ROI V4
1.63% • n=470
Start
Started 48d 9h ago
Updated
Updated 48d 16h ago
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