Model: TIPPSH

Edgeworth Eagles vs Belmont Swansea United SC

PREDICTION

@ 1.95

StatusArchived prediction

KickoffLug 11, 2026 8:00 AM

ResultPending

StartStarted 3h 28m ago

V2 ConfidenceLOWExpected ROI 1.31% · n=2537

V4 ConfidenceLOWExpected ROI 1.31% · n=2537

Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.

Updated Updated 11h 38m ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is Edgeworth Eagles. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: Edgeworth Eagles

Shots Rating

Shot volume edge from recent matches.

Home edge

Shots on Target

Higher weight signal based on shots on target.

Home edge

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V4) and market odds.

29/100

Low value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)

Start odds2.10First seen

Current1.95Now

Max odds2.19Highest point

Min odds1.95Lowest point

VolatilityHighStable range

TrendDroppingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

Edgeworth EaglesHOME

Belmont Swansea United SCAWAY

WWWLL

Recent form

WWDWL

Avg goals scored

1.80

2.00

Defensive weakness

1.60

1.20

Shots on target for

6.80

4.80

SoT conceded pressure

3.80

5.20

Home splitW-W-W-L-W1.80 scored / 1.20 conceded

Away splitW-D-W-L-D2.20 scored / 1.60 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 1.95. The V4 confidence band is LOW with an expected ROI of 1.31% based on n=2537 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Australia Northern NSW Premier League (au). Odds movement is currently classified as Dropping with High volatility.

Pick1

Odd1.95

V2 BandLOWROI 1.31% · n=2537

V4 BandLOWROI 1.31% · n=2537

Odds TrendDropping

VolatilityHigh

AI Match Insight

The matchup looks relatively balanced, so the value of the pick depends more on the model profile than on a clear form advantage. The model does not assign a strong confidence profile here, making the pick more speculative. Shot-on-target data gives additional support to Edgeworth Eagles's attacking profile.

Current Combo momentum is positive. Recent Combo selections remain profitable across multiple recent windows, indicating stable short-term performance.

3D: 122.3% 7D: 6.2% 15D: 36.1% 30D: 13.5%

Model insight

Edgeworth Eagles – Belmont Swansea United SC Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 1 at odds 1.95. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSH model profile. Both V2 and V4 profiles currently show LOW confidence, with historical expected ROI values of 1.31% and 1.31%. The model profile is supported by a broad historical sample, making the long-term estimate more informative. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. The prediction received strong market support after the first appearance. Early prices historically produced the best long-term performance for this model profile. High pre-match volatility suggests increased uncertainty and rapidly changing market conditions. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.

Sample324

Win Rate47.2%

Profit-23.45u

Historical Similar Predictions

Result	Match	Odd	Exp. ROI
WIN	Argentino Merlo - Argentino Quilmes	2.10	1.04%
LOSS	Vikingur Reykjavik (W) - IBV Vestmannaeyjar (W)	1.97	1.04%
WIN	Warta Sieradz - LKS Lodz II	2.05	1.04%
WIN	Slovacko - FC Zorya Lugansk	1.96	1.31%
WIN	EC Juventude - Vila Nova	1.84	1.04%
LOSS	Deportivo Maldonado - Albion FC	2.10	1.04%
LOSS	Cheonan City - Gimhae FC 2008	2.19	1.31%
WIN	America RJ - Serrano	2.15	1.04%

Active Similar Predictions

Match	Pick	Odd	Exp. ROI	Kickoff
Santiago Wanderers - Union Espanola	1	2.17	1.04%	30 May 18:30
Velez Sarsfield Reserves - Racing Club Reserves	1	1.99	1.31%	05 Jul 16:00
Gimcheon Sangmu FC - Bucheon	1	2.06	1.04%	11 Jul 12:30
Hwaseong FC - Paju Frontier FC	1	1.93	1.04%	11 Jul 12:30
Deportivo Moron - Deportivo Madryn	1	1.95	1.04%	11 Jul 20:00
Houston Dynamo II - St Louis City II	1	1.89	1.31%	12 Jul 01:00
Los Angeles FC II - Portland Timbers II	1	2.07	1.04%	12 Jul 04:00
GAIS - Elfsborg	1	1.95	1.04%	12 Jul 16:30

Pick

1 @ 1.95

Kickoff

Lug 11, 2026 8:00 AM

Confidence

CONF: LOW

Exp. ROI V2

Exp. ROI 1.31% • n=2537

Confidence V4

CONF V4: LOW

Exp. ROI V4

1.31% • n=2537

Start

Started 3h 28m ago

Updated

Updated 11h 38m ago