Model: TIPPSH

Nykobing vs FC Roskilde

PREDICTION

@ 1.89

StatusUpcoming

KickoffAgo 28, 2026 9:00 PM

ResultPending

StartStarts in 9h 34m

V2 ConfidenceLOWExpected ROI 1.31% · n=2537

V4 ConfidenceLOWExpected ROI 1.31% · n=2537

Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.

Updated Updated 7m ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is Nykobing. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: NykobingGoal/Shots Index — H: 0.035 | A: 0.010

Shots Rating

Shot volume edge from recent matches.

Home edge

Shots on Target

Higher weight signal based on shots on target.

Home edge

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V4) and market odds.

28/100

Low value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)

Start odds1.99First seen

Current1.89Now

Max odds1.99Highest point

Min odds1.83Lowest point

VolatilityMediumStable range

TrendDroppingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

NykobingHOME

FC RoskildeAWAY

WDWWW

Recent form

WDDWW

Avg goals scored

2.60

2.80

Defensive weakness

1.00

0.60

Shots on target for

9.60

4.20

SoT conceded pressure

5.00

3.80

Home splitD-W-W-D-W2.80 scored / 0.80 conceded

Away splitW-D-W-W-D3.20 scored / 1.00 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 1.89. The V4 confidence band is LOW with an expected ROI of 1.31% based on n=2537 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Denmark Division 2 (dk). Odds movement is currently classified as Dropping with Medium volatility.

Pick1

Odd1.89

V2 BandLOWROI 1.31% · n=2537

V4 BandLOWROI 1.31% · n=2537

Odds TrendDropping

VolatilityMedium

AI Match Insight

The odds suggest a balanced contest, but recent performance data slightly favors Nykobing. Confidence remains limited, so this should be read as a cautious lean rather than a strong prediction. Shot-on-target data gives additional support to Nykobing's attacking profile.

Current Combo momentum is strong. Recent model performance has improved significantly over the last 7-15 days, suggesting the system is currently adapting well to recent match conditions.

3D: 19.8% 7D: 28.7% 15D: 7.5% 30D: 8.9%

Model insight

Nykobing – FC Roskilde Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 1 at odds 1.89. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSH model profile. Both V2 and V4 profiles currently show LOW confidence, with historical expected ROI values of 1.31% and 1.31%. The model profile is supported by a broad historical sample, making the long-term estimate more informative. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. Market movement remained relatively stable before kickoff, suggesting balanced sentiment around the initial model projection. Moderate odds volatility indicates some market disagreement during the pre-match phase. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.

Sample739

Win Rate50.3%

Profit-20.05u

Historical Similar Predictions

Result	Match	Odd	Exp. ROI
LOSS	Töölön Taisto - Atlantis FC/PM	2.05	1.04%
LOSS	Dunajska Streda U19 - MFK Zemplin Michalovce U19	1.79	1.04%
WIN	Ferencvarosi TC II - Majosi SE	1.96	1.04%
LOSS	Vikingur/BF108 U19 - FH/IH U19	2.03	1.04%
WIN	Al Minaa - Al Gharraf	2.07	1.04%
LOSS	Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo - Ventforet Kofu	2.01	1.04%
LOSS	Larne Reserves - Carrick Rangers Reserves	2.01	1.04%
WIN	Penarol - Torque	1.85	1.04%

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Pick

1 @ 1.89

Kickoff

Ago 28, 2026 9:00 PM

Confidence

CONF: LOW

Exp. ROI V2

Exp. ROI 1.31% • n=2537

Confidence V4

CONF V4: LOW

Exp. ROI V4

1.31% • n=2537

Start

Starts in 9h 34m

Updated

Updated 7m ago