Nykobing – Middelfart

Model: TIPPSH

Nykobing vs Middelfart

PREDICTION
1
@ 1.90
StatusArchived prediction
KickoffSet 09, 2026 9:00 PM
ResultLOSS4 - 4
StartStarted 10h 37m ago
V2 ConfidenceLOWExpected ROI 1.04% · n=746
V4 ConfidenceUNKNOWNExpected ROI 0.00% · n=0
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 18h 47m ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is Nykobing. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: NykobingGoal/Shots Index — H: 0.074 | A: -0.002

Shots Rating

H
A
i

Shot volume edge from recent matches.

Home edge

Shots on Target

H
A
i

Higher weight signal based on shots on target.

Home edge

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V2) and market odds.

27/100
Low value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds1.80First seen
Current1.90Now
Max odds1.98Highest point
Min odds1.80Lowest point
VolatilityHighStable range
TrendRisingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

NykobingHOME
VS
MiddelfartAWAY
DWDWD
Recent form
DDWWL
Avg goals scored
2.80
2.20
Defensive weakness
2.00
2.00
Shots on target for
8.80
6.80
SoT conceded pressure
6.60
3.20
Home splitD-D-D-W-W2.80 scored / 1.60 conceded
Away splitD-W-W-D-W2.20 scored / 1.40 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 1.90. The V2 confidence band is LOW with an expected ROI of 1.04% based on n=746 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Denmark Cup (dk). Odds movement is currently classified as Rising with High volatility.

Pick1
Odd1.90
V2 BandLOWROI 1.04% · n=746
V4 BandUNKNOWNROI 0.00% · n=0
Odds TrendRising
VolatilityHigh

AI Match Insight

With no dominant recent form edge, the pick should be interpreted mainly through the model's historical profile. If considered, this pick should be approached with caution due to the limited historical confidence. Nykobing has produced stronger recent offensive pressure in terms of shots on target.

Current Combo momentum is positive. Recent Combo selections remain profitable across multiple recent windows, indicating stable short-term performance.
3D: -18.1% 7D: 2.4% 15D: 3.1% 30D: 5.4%
Model insight

Nykobing – Middelfart Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 1 at odds 1.90. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSH model profile. The V2 confidence band is LOW, with a historical expected ROI of 1.04% across 746 similar predictions. The model profile is supported by a broad historical sample, making the long-term estimate more informative. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. The market moved significantly against the initial model price before kickoff. Historically, large late odds increases may indicate external factors not fully captured by the statistical framework. Moderate odds volatility indicates some market disagreement during the pre-match phase. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample949
Win Rate49.8%
Profit-32.41u
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LOSSAl Ittifaq Dammam - Al Faisaly Harmah1.951.04%
LOSSSuchitepequez - Guastatoya2.131.04%
WINErbil SC - Diyala FC1.881.04%
WINAl-Anwar - Al Taee2.001.31%
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Pick
1 @ 1.90
Kickoff
Set 09, 2026 9:00 PM
Confidence
CONF: LOW
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI 1.04% • n=746
Start
Started 10h 37m ago
Updated
Updated 18h 47m ago
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