Model: TIPPSH

Norwich vs Birmingham

PREDICTION

@ 1.96

StatusArchived prediction

KickoffSet 09, 2026 10:45 PM

ResultWIN2 - 1

StartStarted 8h 52m ago

V2 ConfidenceLOWExpected ROI 1.04% · n=5438

V4 ConfidenceUNKNOWNExpected ROI 0.00% · n=0

Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.

Updated Updated 10h 57m ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is Norwich. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: NorwichGoal/Shots Index — H: 0.056 | A: -0.088

Shots Rating

Shot volume edge from recent matches.

Home edge

Shots on Target

Higher weight signal based on shots on target.

Home edge

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V2) and market odds.

28/100

Low value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)

Start odds2.00First seen

Current1.96Now

Max odds2.05Highest point

Min odds1.88Lowest point

VolatilityHighStable range

TrendDroppingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

NorwichHOME

BirminghamAWAY

WWLWW

Recent form

LDDWL

Avg goals scored

2.20

1.40

Defensive weakness

1.00

2.40

Shots on target for

5.60

4.40

SoT conceded pressure

3.60

5.40

Home splitW-W-L-W-D2.20 scored / 1.00 conceded

Away splitL-W-D-W-W1.20 scored / 0.60 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 1.96. The V2 confidence band is LOW with an expected ROI of 1.04% based on n=5438 historical similar picks. The match belongs to England Championship (gb). Odds movement is currently classified as Dropping with High volatility.

Pick1

Odd1.96

V2 BandLOWROI 1.04% · n=5438

V4 BandUNKNOWNROI 0.00% · n=0

Odds TrendDropping

VolatilityHigh

AI Match Insight

The price is not extreme, and recent results provide a reasonable statistical basis for the pick. This selection carries a lower-confidence signal, so the risk profile remains elevated. Shot-on-target data gives additional support to Norwich's attacking profile.

Current Combo momentum is mixed. Recent results show alternating performance between short-term and medium-term windows.

3D: -18.1% 7D: 1.9% 15D: 3.1% 30D: 5.2%

Model insight

Norwich – Birmingham Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 1 at odds 1.96. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSH model profile. The V2 confidence band is LOW, with a historical expected ROI of 1.04% across 5438 similar predictions. The model profile is supported by a broad historical sample, making the long-term estimate more informative. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. Market movement remained relatively stable before kickoff, suggesting balanced sentiment around the initial model projection. Moderate odds volatility indicates some market disagreement during the pre-match phase. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.

Sample1064

Win Rate48.6%

Profit-50.94u

Historical Similar Predictions

Result	Match	Odd	Exp. ROI
LOSS	FC Zurich (W) - Young Boys (W)	1.88	1.31%
LOSS	Nykobing - Middelfart	1.98	1.04%
LOSS	Minnesota United - FC Dallas	2.15	1.31%
WIN	Tre Penne - Juvenes/Dogana	1.97	1.31%
LOSS	Al Ittifaq Dammam - Al Faisaly Harmah	1.95	1.04%
LOSS	Suchitepequez - Guastatoya	2.13	1.04%
WIN	Erbil SC - Diyala FC	1.88	1.04%
WIN	Al-Anwar - Al Taee	2.00	1.31%

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Pick

1 @ 1.96

Kickoff

Set 09, 2026 10:45 PM

Confidence

CONF: LOW

Exp. ROI V2

Exp. ROI 1.04% • n=5438

Start

Started 8h 52m ago

Updated

Updated 10h 57m ago