Model: TIPPSH

Deportivo Recoleta vs 2 de Mayo

PREDICTION

@ 2.43

StatusUpcoming

KickoffAgo 15, 2026 1:30 AM

ResultPending

StartStarts in 4d 21h

V2 ConfidenceLOWExpected ROI 1.59% · n=2341

V4 ConfidenceUNKNOWNExpected ROI 0.00% · n=0

Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.

Updated Updated 15m ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is Deportivo Recoleta. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: Deportivo RecoletaGoal/Shots Index — H: 0.023 | A: 0.114

Shots Rating

Shot volume edge from recent matches.

Home edge

Shots on Target

Higher weight signal based on shots on target.

Home edge

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V2) and market odds.

35/100

Low value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

Deportivo RecoletaHOME

2 de MayoAWAY

WWLDW

Recent form

WDWWL

Avg goals scored

1.80

1.00

Defensive weakness

1.60

0.60

Shots on target for

6.60

3.40

SoT conceded pressure

4.80

4.40

Home splitW-D-W-D-W1.80 scored / 1.20 conceded

Away splitD-D-W-L-L0.60 scored / 2.00 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 2.43. The V2 confidence band is LOW with an expected ROI of 1.59% based on n=2341 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Paraguay Division Profesional (py). Odds movement is currently classified as Stable with Low volatility.

Pick1

Odd2.43

V2 BandLOWROI 1.59% · n=2341

V4 BandUNKNOWNROI 0.00% · n=0

Odds TrendStable

VolatilityLow

AI Match Insight

The current odds imply an underdog profile, although recent performances indicate a more competitive matchup. Confidence remains limited, so this should be read as a cautious lean rather than a strong prediction. Deportivo Recoleta is also generating more shots on target, adding offensive support to the pick.

Current Combo momentum is positive. Recent Combo selections remain profitable across multiple recent windows, indicating stable short-term performance.

3D: 2.4% 7D: 6.4% 15D: 10.0% 30D: 9.6%

Model insight

Deportivo Recoleta – 2 de Mayo Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 1 at odds 2.43. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSH model profile. The V2 confidence band is LOW, with a historical expected ROI of 1.59% across 2341 similar predictions. The model profile is supported by a broad historical sample, making the long-term estimate more informative. Odds history is still limited because this prediction has only recently appeared in the monitored bookmaker panel. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.

Sample233

Win Rate42.5%

Profit+0.31u

Historical Similar Predictions

Result	Match	Odd	Exp. ROI
LOSS	Academia Anzoategui FC - Portuguesa	2.68	1.59%
LOSS	Huachipato (W) - Palestino (W)	2.37	1.59%
LOSS	JS Hercules - SJK Akatemia II	2.32	1.59%
LOSS	Polonia Sroda Slaska - Moto Jelcz Olawa	2.62	1.59%
LOSS	FC Probiy Horodenka - FC Chernigiv	2.22	1.04%
WIN	MKS Kluczbork - Gornik Polkowice	2.30	1.59%
LOSS	KF Fjallabyggd - KV Vesturbaer	2.57	1.59%
WIN	76 Igdir Belediyespor - Fatih Karagumruk	2.46	1.59%

Active Similar Predictions

Match	Pick	Odd	Exp. ROI	Kickoff
North Star - Logan Lightning	1	2.55	1.59%	23 May 09:00
FC Lahti - FC Ilves	1	2.65	1.59%	30 May 16:00
Boca Juniors Reserves - River Plate Reserves	1	2.40	1.59%	05 Jul 19:00
Sao Bernardo SP - Botafogo SP	1	2.30	1.59%	15 Aug 00:30

Pick

1 @ 2.43

Kickoff

Ago 15, 2026 1:30 AM

Confidence

CONF: LOW

Exp. ROI V2

Exp. ROI 1.59% • n=2341

Start

Starts in 4d 21h

Updated

Updated 15m ago