Model: TIPPSH
Operario PR – Chapecoense
PREDICTION
1
@ 2.22
StatusArchived prediction
KickoffMag 07, 2026 4:30 AM
ResultLOSS1 - 2
StartStarted 34d 6h ago
V2 ConfidenceMEDIUMExpected ROI 2.30% · n=590
V4 ConfidenceMEDIUMExpected ROI 2.30% · n=590
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 34d 11h ago
Team Form & Goal Trends
Recent form based on completed matches before kickoff.
| Metric | Operario PR | Chapecoense |
|---|---|---|
| Last 5 form | L-W-W-D-D | W-L-W-L-L |
| Avg goals scored | 1.20 | 1.20 |
| Avg goals conceded | 0.60 | 1.40 |
| Home/Away form | L-W-D-D-D (home) | W-L-L-D-L (away) |
| Home/Away avg goals | 1.00 scored / 0.60 conceded | 0.60 scored / 1.20 conceded |
| Shots on target | 4.00 for / 3.60 against | 4.20 for / 5.20 against |
| Home/Away shots on target | 3.80 for / 4.00 against (home) | 2.60 for / 5.60 against (away) |
AI Match Insight
In a fairly competitive price range, recent form gives Operario PR a useful statistical edge. This sits in a middle confidence range, suggesting a balanced but not especially dominant setup.
Current Combo momentum is weak. Recent short-term performance has been below expectations, suggesting that current match conditions may be less favorable for the model.
3D: -30.9%
7D: -15.9%
15D: -2.4%
30D: 8.7%
Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds2.07First seen
Current2.22Now
Max odds2.47Highest point
Min odds2.07Lowest point
VolatilityHighStable range
TrendRisingShort term
Model insight
Operario PR – Chapecoense Betting Analysis
The model currently selects 1 at odds 2.22. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSH model profile. Both V2 and V4 profiles currently show MEDIUM confidence, with historical expected ROI values of 2.30% and 2.30%. Historical expected profitability for this profile is positive, but the edge appears more moderate. The model profile is supported by a broad historical sample, making the long-term estimate more informative. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. The market moved significantly against the initial model price before kickoff. Historically, large late odds increases may indicate external factors not fully captured by the statistical framework. High pre-match volatility suggests increased uncertainty and rapidly changing market conditions. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample174
Win Rate44.3%
Profit-11.61u
Historical Similar Predictions
| Result | Match | Odd | Exp. ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| LOSS | Congo DR - Chile | 2.03 | 3.37% |
| WIN | Oman - Mozambique | 2.18 | 3.37% |
| LOSS | Blacktown City U20 - Rockdale Ilinden FC U20 | 2.00 | 3.37% |
| LOSS | CF Benidorm - Torrevieja | 2.25 | 2.49% |
| LOSS | Oskar Przysucha - MKS Piaseczno | 2.25 | 3.15% |
| WIN | Toronto FC II - Huntsville City | 2.40 | 2.49% |
| LOSS | Perth SC - Stirling Macedonia | 2.23 | 3.37% |
| WIN | Atletico Rio Abajo - AF Chilibre | 2.23 | 3.37% |
Active Similar Predictions
| Match | Pick | Odd | Exp. ROI | Kickoff |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Slask Wroclaw II - KKS 1925 Kalisz | 1 | 1.98 | 4.86% | 09 May 13:00 |
| Waterford FC - Sligo Rovers | 1 | 2.23 | 3.37% | 12 Jun 20:45 |
| Colorado Switchbacks FC - Sacramento Republic | 1 | 1.97 | 3.37% | 14 Jun 03:00 |
Pick
1 @ 2.22
Kickoff
Mag 07, 2026 4:30 AM
Confidence
CONF: MEDIUM
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI 2.30% • n=590
Confidence V4
Exp. ROI V4
2.30% • n=590
Start
Started 34d 6h ago
Updated
Updated 34d 11h ago