Operario PR – Chapecoense

Model: TIPPSH

Operario PR vs Chapecoense

PREDICTION
1
@ 2.22
StatusArchived prediction
KickoffMag 07, 2026 4:30 AM
ResultLOSS1 - 2
StartStarted 112d 2h ago
V2 ConfidenceMEDIUMExpected ROI 2.30% · n=590
V4 ConfidenceMEDIUMExpected ROI 2.30% · n=590
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 112d 7h ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is Operario PR. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: Operario PRGoal/Shots Index — H: — | A: —

Shots Rating

H
A
Rating unavailable for this archived pick.

Shots on Target

H
A
Rating unavailable for this archived pick.

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V4) and market odds.

35/100
Low value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds2.07First seen
Current2.22Now
Max odds2.47Highest point
Min odds2.07Lowest point
VolatilityHighStable range
TrendRisingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

Operario PRHOME
VS
ChapecoenseAWAY
LWWDD
Recent form
WLWLL
Avg goals scored
1.20
1.20
Defensive weakness
0.60
1.40
Shots on target for
4.00
4.20
SoT conceded pressure
3.60
5.20
Home splitL-W-D-D-D1.00 scored / 0.60 conceded
Away splitW-L-L-D-L0.60 scored / 1.20 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 2.22. The V4 confidence band is MEDIUM with an expected ROI of 2.30% based on n=590 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Brazil Copa Sul-Sudeste (br). Odds movement is currently classified as Rising with High volatility.

Pick1
Odd2.22
V2 BandMEDIUMROI 2.30% · n=590
V4 BandMEDIUMROI 2.30% · n=590
Odds TrendRising
VolatilityHigh

AI Match Insight

In a fairly competitive price range, recent form gives Operario PR a useful statistical edge. There is some statistical support behind the pick, but the historical signal is not strong enough to be aggressive.

Current Combo momentum is weak. Recent short-term performance has been below expectations, suggesting that current match conditions may be less favorable for the model.
3D: -30.9% 7D: -15.9% 15D: -2.4% 30D: 8.7%
Model insight

Operario PR – Chapecoense Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 1 at odds 2.22. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSH model profile. Both V2 and V4 profiles currently show MEDIUM confidence, with historical expected ROI values of 2.30% and 2.30%. Historical expected profitability for this profile is positive, but the edge appears more moderate. The model profile is supported by a broad historical sample, making the long-term estimate more informative. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. The market moved significantly against the initial model price before kickoff. Historically, large late odds increases may indicate external factors not fully captured by the statistical framework. High pre-match volatility suggests increased uncertainty and rapidly changing market conditions. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample308
Win Rate43.8%
Profit-14.97u
Historical Similar Predictions
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WINFerrymead Bays - Nelson Suburbs2.053.37%
LOSSWil 1900 - Kriens2.173.37%
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Pick
1 @ 2.22
Kickoff
Mag 07, 2026 4:30 AM
Confidence
CONF: MEDIUM
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI 2.30% • n=590
Confidence V4
Exp. ROI V4
2.30% • n=590
Start
Started 112d 2h ago
Updated
Updated 112d 7h ago
Torna in alto