Model: TIPPSA

Orlando City SC vs FC Cincinnati

PREDICTION

@ 2.72

StatusUpcoming

KickoffAgo 16, 2026 3:30 AM

ResultPending

StartStarts in 1h 20m

V2 ConfidenceMEDIUMExpected ROI 3.59% · n=214

V4 ConfidenceUNKNOWNExpected ROI 0.00% · n=0

Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.

Updated Updated 43m ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is FC Cincinnati. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: FC CincinnatiGoal/Shots Index — H: 0.019 | A: 0.069

Shots Rating

Shot volume edge from recent matches.

Away edge

Shots on Target

Higher weight signal based on shots on target.

Away edge

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V2) and market odds.

45/100

Low value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)

Start odds2.83First seen

Current2.75Now

Max odds3.10Highest point

Min odds2.75Lowest point

VolatilityHighStable range

TrendDroppingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

Orlando City SCHOME

FC CincinnatiAWAY

DLWLW

Recent form

LWWWL

Avg goals scored

1.60

2.20

Defensive weakness

1.60

1.40

Shots on target for

4.00

6.00

SoT conceded pressure

7.40

5.60

Home splitD-L-W-W-D1.80 scored / 1.20 conceded

Away splitL-D-D-W-D2.60 scored / 2.60 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 2 at odds 2.72. The V2 confidence band is MEDIUM with an expected ROI of 3.59% based on n=214 historical similar picks. The match belongs to USA MLS (us). Odds movement is currently classified as Dropping with High volatility.

Pick2

Odd2.72

V2 BandMEDIUMROI 3.59% · n=214

V4 BandUNKNOWNROI 0.00% · n=0

Odds TrendDropping

VolatilityHigh

AI Match Insight

While the odds remain elevated, the underlying metrics suggest the selection may be more competitive than the market implies. This sits in a middle confidence range, suggesting a balanced but not especially dominant setup. Shot-on-target data gives additional support to FC Cincinnati's attacking profile.

Current Combo momentum is mixed. Recent results show alternating performance between short-term and medium-term windows.

3D: -14.5% 7D: -16.3% 15D: 2.7% 30D: 5.8%

Model insight

Orlando City SC – FC Cincinnati Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 2 at odds 2.72. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSA model profile. The V2 confidence band is MEDIUM, with a historical expected ROI of 3.59% across 214 similar predictions. Historical expected profitability for this profile is positive, but the edge appears more moderate. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. Market movement remained relatively stable before kickoff, suggesting balanced sentiment around the initial model projection. High pre-match volatility suggests increased uncertainty and rapidly changing market conditions. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.

Sample111

Win Rate38.7%

Profit+1.91u

Historical Similar Predictions

Result	Match	Odd	Exp. ROI
WIN	Crawley Town - Crewe	2.59	4.13%
WIN	FC Utrecht - AZ	2.47	3.59%
LOSS	CA Brown de Adrogue U20 - Estudiantes de Buenos Aires U20	2.64	3.59%
LOSS	FC ML Vitebsk - Borac Banja Luka	2.70	3.43%
WIN	GBK - Huima/Urho	2.47	3.43%
LOSS	NWS Spirit FC - Blacktown City	2.57	4.13%
WIN	Hertha Wels - SV Austria Salzburg	2.76	4.96%
LOSS	FC Gute - Kungsängens IF	2.80	3.61%

Active Similar Predictions

Match	Pick	Odd	Exp. ROI	Kickoff
Retro FC Brasil - America RN	2	2.70	3.31%	30 Apr 02:30
Sportivo Trinidense (W) - Sportivo San Lorenzo (W)	2	2.54	4.13%	16 Aug 01:00

Pick

2 @ 2.72

Kickoff

Ago 16, 2026 3:30 AM

Confidence

CONF: MEDIUM

Exp. ROI V2

Exp. ROI 3.59% • n=214

Start

Starts in 1h 20m

Updated

Updated 43m ago