Palestino vs Audax Italiano
📊 Match Analysis
Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.
Game Context
The model side is Palestino. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.
Edge: PalestinoValue Index
Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V4) and market odds.
Odds Movement
📊 Team Form (Last 5)
Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.
Quick Analysis
The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 1.97. The V4 confidence band is LOW with an expected ROI of 1.31% based on n=2537 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Chile Liga de Primera (cl). Odds movement is currently classified as Dropping with Low volatility.
AI Match Insight
With no dominant recent form edge, the pick should be interpreted mainly through the model's historical profile. The model does not assign a strong confidence profile here, making the pick more speculative. Palestino is also generating more shots on target, adding offensive support to the pick.
Palestino – Audax Italiano Betting Analysis
| Result | Match | Odd | Exp. ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| WIN | Itabirito U20 - Social FC MG U20 | 1.97 | 1.31% |
| WIN | Zrinjski Mostar - HSK Posusje | 1.97 | 1.31% |
| LOSS | Springvale White Eagles - Nunawading | 2.04 | 1.31% |
| LOSS | Leon - Atlas | 2.06 | 1.04% |
| WIN | One Knoxville SC - Fort Wayne FC | 1.79 | 1.04% |
| WIN | Botafogo - Santos | 2.05 | 1.31% |
| LOSS | Caen - Paris 13 Atletico | 1.98 | 1.31% |
| LOSS | Perth SC - Western Knights | 1.86 | 1.04% |
| Match | Pick | Odd | Exp. ROI | Kickoff |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Santiago Wanderers - Union Espanola | 1 | 2.17 | 1.04% | 30 May 18:30 |
| Velez Sarsfield Reserves - Racing Club Reserves | 1 | 1.99 | 1.31% | 05 Jul 16:00 |
| Inter Lions - Rydalmere Lions FC | 1 | 1.92 | 1.31% | 18 Jul 09:00 |
| Mount Gravatt Hawks - Logan Roos FC | 1 | 2.15 | 1.04% | 18 Jul 11:00 |
| Opava - FC Petrzalka | 1 | 2.04 | 1.04% | 18 Jul 16:00 |
| FC Kosice - Diosgyori VTK | 1 | 2.05 | 1.04% | 18 Jul 18:00 |
| Servette - St Etienne | 1 | 2.11 | 1.04% | 18 Jul 18:00 |
| Kormakur/Hvot - Dalvik/Reynir | 1 | 2.04 | 1.04% | 18 Jul 19:00 |