Model: TIPPSH

Peterhead vs Montrose

PREDICTION

@ 2.16

StatusUpcoming

KickoffSet 05, 2026 6:00 PM

ResultPending

StartStarts in 1d

V2 ConfidenceLOWExpected ROI 1.31% · n=2537

V4 ConfidenceLOWExpected ROI 1.31% · n=2537

Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.

Updated Updated 12m ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is Peterhead. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: PeterheadGoal/Shots Index — H: -0.077 | A: 0.138

Shots Rating

Shot volume edge from recent matches.

Home edge

Shots on Target

Higher weight signal based on shots on target.

Home edge

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V4) and market odds.

31/100

Low value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)

Start odds2.04First seen

Current2.16Now

Max odds2.16Highest point

Min odds2.04Lowest point

VolatilityMediumStable range

TrendRisingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

PeterheadHOME

MontroseAWAY

DWLWW

Recent form

WWWLW

Avg goals scored

2.00

Defensive weakness

1.40

0.80

Shots on target for

6.60

4.40

SoT conceded pressure

3.80

5.00

Home splitW-W-L-D-L0.80 scored / 0.80 conceded

Away splitL-L-W-W-D1.20 scored / 1.20 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 2.16. The V4 confidence band is LOW with an expected ROI of 1.31% based on n=2537 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Scotland League One (gb). Odds movement is currently classified as Rising with Medium volatility.

Pick1

Odd2.16

V2 BandLOWROI 1.31% · n=2537

V4 BandLOWROI 1.31% · n=2537

Odds TrendRising

VolatilityMedium

AI Match Insight

The matchup looks relatively balanced, so the value of the pick depends more on the model profile than on a clear form advantage. If considered, this pick should be approached with caution due to the limited historical confidence. Peterhead has produced stronger recent offensive pressure in terms of shots on target.

Current Combo momentum is mixed. Recent results show alternating performance between short-term and medium-term windows.

3D: -32.8% 7D: -1.2% 15D: 15.1% 30D: 4.6%

Model insight

Peterhead – Montrose Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 1 at odds 2.16. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSH model profile. Both V2 and V4 profiles currently show LOW confidence, with historical expected ROI values of 1.31% and 1.31%. The model profile is supported by a broad historical sample, making the long-term estimate more informative. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. The market moved significantly against the initial model price before kickoff. Historically, large late odds increases may indicate external factors not fully captured by the statistical framework. Moderate odds volatility indicates some market disagreement during the pre-match phase. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.

Sample782

Win Rate46.9%

Profit-5.58u

Historical Similar Predictions

Result	Match	Odd	Exp. ROI
LOSS	Beitar Tel Aviv Holon - Ironi Beit Dagan	2.12	1.31%
WIN	MLS FC Lawngtlai - Kanan FC	1.99	1.31%
WIN	Deportivo Paraguayo Reserves - Centro Espanyol Reserves	2.30	1.59%
LOSS	Trento - Desenzano	1.94	1.04%
LOSS	Moik Baku - FK Sahdag Qusar	2.32	1.59%
WIN	Levante UD (W) - Villarreal (W)	2.20	1.04%
WIN	Cittadella - Renate	2.20	1.31%
LOSS	Westchester SC - Chattanooga Red Wolves	2.20	1.31%

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Pick

1 @ 2.16

Kickoff

Set 05, 2026 6:00 PM

Confidence

CONF: LOW

Exp. ROI V2

Exp. ROI 1.31% • n=2537

Confidence V4

CONF V4: LOW

Exp. ROI V4

1.31% • n=2537

Start

Starts in 1d

Updated

Updated 12m ago