Model: TIPPSA

Piast Gliwice vs Legia Warsaw

PREDICTION

@ 2.02

StatusArchived prediction

KickoffAgo 22, 2026 7:30 PM

ResultWIN0 - 1

StartStarted 1d 2h ago

V2 ConfidenceMEDIUMExpected ROI 2.63% · n=132

V4 ConfidenceUNKNOWNExpected ROI 0.00% · n=0

Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.

Updated Updated 1d 4h ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is Legia Warsaw. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: Legia WarsawGoal/Shots Index — H: -0.057 | A: 0.120

Shots Rating

Shot volume edge from recent matches.

Away edge

Shots on Target

Higher weight signal based on shots on target.

Away edge

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V2) and market odds.

34/100

Low value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)

Start odds2.11First seen

Current2.05Now

Max odds2.11Highest point

Min odds2.05Lowest point

VolatilityLowStable range

TrendDroppingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

Piast GliwiceHOME

Legia WarsawAWAY

DLLWL

Recent form

DWDWW

Avg goals scored

1.60

2.20

Defensive weakness

2.60

0.60

Shots on target for

6.60

6.20

SoT conceded pressure

6.20

4.00

Home splitD-L-W-D-W2.20 scored / 2.00 conceded

Away splitD-D-W-W-W1.40 scored / 0.60 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 2 at odds 2.02. The V2 confidence band is MEDIUM with an expected ROI of 2.63% based on n=132 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Poland Ekstraklasa (pl). Odds movement is currently classified as Dropping with Low volatility.

Pick2

Odd2.02

V2 BandMEDIUMROI 2.63% · n=132

V4 BandUNKNOWNROI 0.00% · n=0

Odds TrendDropping

VolatilityLow

AI Match Insight

The odds suggest a balanced contest, but recent performance data slightly favors Legia Warsaw. This sits in a middle confidence range, suggesting a balanced but not especially dominant setup.

Current Combo momentum is positive. Recent Combo selections remain profitable across multiple recent windows, indicating stable short-term performance.

3D: 29.6% 7D: 22.8% 15D: 3.4% 30D: 4.0%

Model insight

Piast Gliwice – Legia Warsaw Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 2 at odds 2.02. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSA model profile. The V2 confidence band is MEDIUM, with a historical expected ROI of 2.63% across 132 similar predictions. Historical expected profitability for this profile is positive, but the edge appears more moderate. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. Market movement remained relatively stable before kickoff, suggesting balanced sentiment around the initial model projection. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.

Sample94

Win Rate43.6%

Profit-7.18u

Historical Similar Predictions

Result	Match	Odd	Exp. ROI
WIN	HB Køge - Hvidovre IF	2.08	2.63%
WIN	Wuxi Wugo - Guangdong GZ-Power	2.07	2.63%
LOSS	PSG - Man Utd	2.08	2.63%
LOSS	Arbroath - Inverness CT	2.27	3.43%
LOSS	Sarmiento - Independiente Rivadavia	2.21	2.63%
LOSS	Social Atletico Television (W) - CA Talleres de Cordoba (W)	2.22	2.63%
WIN	Hapoel Bnei Sakhnin - Hapoel Haifa	2.01	2.63%
LOSS	Sol de Mayo - Club Villa Mitre	2.15	2.63%

Pick

2 @ 2.02

Kickoff

Ago 22, 2026 7:30 PM

Confidence

CONF: MEDIUM

Exp. ROI V2

Exp. ROI 2.63% • n=132

Start

Started 1d 2h ago

Updated

Updated 1d 4h ago