Model: TIPPSH

NK Vrhnika vs ND Dravinja

PREDICTION

@ 2.00

StatusArchived prediction

KickoffAgo 22, 2026 7:00 PM

ResultWIN2 - 0

StartStarted 1d 2h ago

V2 ConfidenceLOWExpected ROI 1.31% · n=2537

V4 ConfidenceLOWExpected ROI 1.31% · n=2537

Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.

Updated Updated 1d 5h ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is NK Vrhnika. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: NK VrhnikaGoal/Shots Index — H: -0.067 | A: -0.006

Shots Rating

Shot volume edge from recent matches.

Home edge

Shots on Target

Higher weight signal based on shots on target.

Home edge

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V4) and market odds.

29/100

Low value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)

Start odds2.10First seen

Current2.00Now

Max odds2.10Highest point

Min odds2.00Lowest point

VolatilityMediumStable range

TrendDroppingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

NK VrhnikaHOME

ND DravinjaAWAY

WWLLW

Recent form

LLLWW

Avg goals scored

1.40

0.80

Defensive weakness

1.00

1.40

Shots on target for

7.80

3.80

SoT conceded pressure

3.20

3.80

Home splitW-L-L-W-W2.80 scored / 1.00 conceded

Away splitL-L-W-D-D0.60 scored / 1.00 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 2.00. The V4 confidence band is LOW with an expected ROI of 1.31% based on n=2537 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Slovenia 2. SNL (si). Odds movement is currently classified as Dropping with Medium volatility.

Pick1

Odd2.00

V2 BandLOWROI 1.31% · n=2537

V4 BandLOWROI 1.31% · n=2537

Odds TrendDropping

VolatilityMedium

AI Match Insight

The price is not extreme, and recent results provide a reasonable statistical basis for the pick. Confidence remains limited, so this should be read as a cautious lean rather than a strong prediction. NK Vrhnika has produced stronger recent offensive pressure in terms of shots on target.

Current Combo momentum is positive. Recent Combo selections remain profitable across multiple recent windows, indicating stable short-term performance.

3D: 29.6% 7D: 22.8% 15D: 3.4% 30D: 4.0%

Model insight

NK Vrhnika – ND Dravinja Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 1 at odds 2.00. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSH model profile. Both V2 and V4 profiles currently show LOW confidence, with historical expected ROI values of 1.31% and 1.31%. The model profile is supported by a broad historical sample, making the long-term estimate more informative. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. Market movement remained relatively stable before kickoff, suggesting balanced sentiment around the initial model projection. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.

Sample850

Win Rate50.0%

Profit-12.10u

Historical Similar Predictions

Result	Match	Odd	Exp. ROI
LOSS	Goztepe U19 - Genclerbirligi U19	1.96	1.04%
LOSS	Unia Swarzedz - Wda Swiecie	1.75	1.04%
WIN	Capital CF U20 - Sobradinho U20	1.79	1.04%
LOSS	Rapid Vienna (W) - SCR Altach (W)	1.84	1.04%
WIN	KSZO Ostrowiec - Pogon Sokol Lubaczow	1.78	1.04%
LOSS	Chaves - AVS	1.83	1.04%
WIN	ND Beltinci - NK Primorje Ajdovscina	2.09	1.31%
LOSS	Sochaux U19 - Nancy U19	1.95	1.04%

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Pick

1 @ 2.00

Kickoff

Ago 22, 2026 7:00 PM

Confidence

CONF: LOW

Exp. ROI V2

Exp. ROI 1.31% • n=2537

Confidence V4

CONF V4: LOW

Exp. ROI V4

1.31% • n=2537

Start

Started 1d 2h ago

Updated

Updated 1d 5h ago