Portimonense U23 – SC Farense U23

Di /
Model: TIPPSA

Portimonense U23 vs SC Farense U23

PREDICTION
2
@ 2.08
StatusArchived prediction
KickoffAgo 25, 2026 8:30 PM
ResultWIN1 - 2
StartStarted 1d 12h ago
V2 ConfidenceMEDIUMExpected ROI 2.63% · n=132
V4 ConfidenceUNKNOWNExpected ROI 0.00% · n=0
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 1d 14h ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is SC Farense U23. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: SC Farense U23Goal/Shots Index — H: -0.004 | A: 0.024

Shots Rating

H
A
i

Shot volume edge from recent matches.

Away edge

Shots on Target

H
A
i

Higher weight signal based on shots on target.

Away edge

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V2) and market odds.

35/100
Low value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds2.50First seen
Current2.08Now
Max odds2.50Highest point
Min odds1.93Lowest point
VolatilityHighStable range
TrendDroppingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

Portimonense U23HOME
VS
SC Farense U23AWAY
LDDLL
Recent form
WDWWD
Avg goals scored
1.00
1.80
Defensive weakness
1.60
1.20
Shots on target for
2.40
6.20
SoT conceded pressure
4.80
2.80
Home splitL-D-L-L1.25 scored / 2.00 conceded
Away splitW-W-W-W-L2.20 scored / 1.60 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 2 at odds 2.08. The V2 confidence band is MEDIUM with an expected ROI of 2.63% based on n=132 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Portugal U23 League (pt). Odds movement is currently classified as Dropping with High volatility.

Pick2
Odd2.08
V2 BandMEDIUMROI 2.63% · n=132
V4 BandUNKNOWNROI 0.00% · n=0
Odds TrendDropping
VolatilityHigh

AI Match Insight

The price is not extreme, and recent results provide a reasonable statistical basis for the pick. The model gives this selection a reasonable profile, although the confidence level remains measured. SC Farense U23 is also generating more shots on target, adding offensive support to the pick.

Current Combo momentum is positive. Recent Combo selections remain profitable across multiple recent windows, indicating stable short-term performance.
3D: 22.8% 7D: 25.6% 15D: 4.9% 30D: 6.3%

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Model insight

Portimonense U23 – SC Farense U23 Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 2 at odds 2.08. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSA model profile. The V2 confidence band is MEDIUM, with a historical expected ROI of 2.63% across 132 similar predictions. Historical expected profitability for this profile is positive, but the edge appears more moderate. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. The prediction received strong market support after the first appearance. Early prices historically produced the best long-term performance for this model profile. High pre-match volatility suggests increased uncertainty and rapidly changing market conditions. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample116
Win Rate43.1%
Profit-8.51u
Historical Similar Predictions
ResultMatchOddExp. ROI
WINTorpedo Kutaisi - Dinamo Batumi2.254.13%
WINPiast Gliwice - Legia Warsaw2.042.63%
LOSSSligo Rovers - Waterford FC2.303.59%
WINHB Køge - Hvidovre IF2.082.63%
WINWuxi Wugo - Guangdong GZ-Power2.072.63%
WINHuachipato - Everton de Vina2.294.13%
LOSSPSG - Man Utd2.082.63%
LOSSArbroath - Inverness CT2.273.43%
Pick
2 @ 2.08
Kickoff
Ago 25, 2026 8:30 PM
Confidence
CONF: MEDIUM
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI 2.63% • n=132
Start
Started 1d 12h ago
Updated
Updated 1d 14h ago
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