Model: TIPPSH
CS Afumati vs Chindia Targoviste
PREDICTION
1
@ 2.60
StatusArchived prediction
KickoffAgo 15, 2026 5:30 PM
ResultLOSS0 - 3
StartStarted 1d 2h ago
V2 ConfidenceLOWExpected ROI 1.41% · n=109
V4 ConfidenceLOWExpected ROI 1.41% · n=109
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 1d 7h ago
📊 Match Analysis
Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.
Game Context
The model side is CS Afumati. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.
Edge: CS AfumatiGoal/Shots Index — H: — | A: 0.070Value Index
Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V4) and market odds.
36/100
Odds Movement
Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds2.99First seen
Current2.85Now
Max odds3.00Highest point
Min odds2.85Lowest point
VolatilityMediumStable range
TrendDroppingShort term
📊 Team Form (Last 5)
Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.
CS AfumatiHOME
VS
Chindia TargovisteAWAY
LWLWL
Recent form
WWWLD
Avg goals scored
1.20
2.00
Defensive weakness
1.60
1.00
Shots on target for
5.60
6.80
SoT conceded pressure
3.20
7.60
Home splitL-W-W-L-D1.00 scored / 1.60 conceded
Away splitW-W-L-D-D1.60 scored / 1.00 conceded
Quick Analysis
The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 2.60. The V4 confidence band is LOW with an expected ROI of 1.41% based on n=109 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Romania Liga 2 (ro). Odds movement is currently classified as Dropping with Medium volatility.
Pick1
Odd2.60
V2 BandLOWROI 1.41% · n=109
V4 BandLOWROI 1.41% · n=109
Odds TrendDropping
VolatilityMedium
AI Match Insight
The selection carries significant risk according to both market expectations and recent form indicators. The model does not assign a strong confidence profile here, making the pick more speculative.
Current Combo momentum is mixed. Recent results show alternating performance between short-term and medium-term windows.
3D: -30.1%
7D: -17.2%
15D: 6.5%
30D: 5.5%
Model insight
CS Afumati – Chindia Targoviste Betting Analysis
The model currently selects 1 at odds 2.60. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSH model profile. Both V2 and V4 profiles currently show LOW confidence, with historical expected ROI values of 1.41% and 1.41%. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. Market movement remained relatively stable before kickoff, suggesting balanced sentiment around the initial model projection. Moderate odds volatility indicates some market disagreement during the pre-match phase. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample158
Win Rate38.6%
Profit-5.98u
Historical Similar Predictions
| Result | Match | Odd | Exp. ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| WIN | Guangdong Mingtu - Wuhan Three Towns Reserves | 2.53 | 1.59% |
| LOSS | Ulsan HD - Gangwon FC | 2.52 | 1.59% |
| WIN | Juventude de Evora - Alcochetense | 2.51 | 1.59% |
| WIN | Pacatuba - Esporte Limoeiro | 2.44 | 1.59% |
| WIN | JK Tallinna Kalev - FC Elva | 2.43 | 1.59% |
| LOSS | Gualaceo SC - Atletico FC Guayaquil | 2.61 | 1.59% |
| LOSS | FK Neratovice-Byskovice - FK Jablonec B | 2.67 | 1.59% |
| WIN | Lautaro de Buin - Malleco Unido | 2.50 | 1.59% |
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| CRB - Gremio Novorizontino | 1 | 2.45 | 1.59% | 16 Aug 23:30 |
| Athens Kallithea - Larissa | 1 | 2.72 | 1.59% | 17 Aug 16:00 |
| Felgueiras 1932 - AVS | 1 | 2.52 | 1.59% | 17 Aug 19:00 |
| Volsungur - IF Vestri | 1 | 2.50 | 1.59% | 17 Aug 20:00 |
Pick
1 @ 2.60
Kickoff
Ago 15, 2026 5:30 PM
Confidence
CONF: LOW
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI 1.41% • n=109
Confidence V4
Exp. ROI V4
1.41% • n=109
Start
Started 1d 2h ago
Updated
Updated 1d 7h ago