Puszcza Niepolomice – LKS Lodz

Model: TIPPSA

Puszcza Niepolomice vs LKS Lodz

PREDICTION
2
@ 2.30
StatusArchived prediction
KickoffMag 18, 2026 8:00 PM
ResultLOSS1 - 0
StartStarted 54d 16h ago
V2 ConfidenceLOWExpected ROI 0.84% · n=717
V4 ConfidenceNONEExpected ROI -2.09% · n=286
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 54d 18h ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is LKS Lodz. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: LKS Lodz

Shots Rating

H
A
Rating unavailable for this archived pick.

Shots on Target

H
A
Rating unavailable for this archived pick.

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V4) and market odds.

21/100
Poor value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds2.12First seen
Current2.30Now
Max odds2.34Highest point
Min odds2.05Lowest point
VolatilityHighStable range
TrendRisingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

Puszcza NiepolomiceHOME
VS
LKS LodzAWAY
WDWDW
Recent form
LDWWW
Avg goals scored
1.40
2.20
Defensive weakness
0.80
1.20
Shots on target for
3.00
6.20
SoT conceded pressure
4.40
3.40
Home splitW-W-W-W1.50 scored / 0.50 conceded
Away splitL-D-L-W1.50 scored / 1.50 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 2 at odds 2.30. The V4 confidence band is NONE with an expected ROI of -2.09% based on n=286 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Poland I Liga (pl). Odds movement is currently classified as Rising with High volatility.

Pick2
Odd2.30
V2 BandLOWROI 0.84% · n=717
V4 BandNONEROI -2.09% · n=286
Odds TrendRising
VolatilityHigh

AI Match Insight

With no dominant recent form edge, the pick should be interpreted mainly through the model's historical profile. This selection carries a lower-confidence signal, so the risk profile remains elevated. LKS Lodz has produced stronger recent offensive pressure in terms of shots on target.

Current Combo momentum is strong. Recent model performance has improved significantly over the last 7-15 days, suggesting the system is currently adapting well to recent match conditions.
3D: 22.9% 7D: 20.8% 15D: 6.3% 30D: 1.1%
Model insight

Puszcza Niepolomice – LKS Lodz Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 2 at odds 2.30. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSA model profile. The V2 confidence band is LOW, with a historical expected ROI of 0.84% across 717 similar predictions. The V4 confidence band is NONE, with a historical expected ROI of -2.09% across 286 historical samples. The model profile is supported by a broad historical sample, making the long-term estimate more informative. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. The market moved significantly against the initial model price before kickoff. Historically, large late odds increases may indicate external factors not fully captured by the statistical framework. High pre-match volatility suggests increased uncertainty and rapidly changing market conditions. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample85
Win Rate44.7%
Profit+0.46u
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WINZED FC - Wadi Degla2.540.84%
WINMyPa - PPJ2.061.76%
Pick
2 @ 2.30
Kickoff
Mag 18, 2026 8:00 PM
Confidence
CONF: LOW
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI 0.84% • n=717
Confidence V4
Exp. ROI V4
-2.09% • n=286
Start
Started 54d 16h ago
Updated
Updated 54d 18h ago
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