Real Aranjuez vs UD Usera
📊 Match Analysis
Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.
Game Context
The model side is Real Aranjuez. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.
Edge: Real AranjuezValue Index
Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V4) and market odds.
Odds Movement
📊 Team Form (Last 5)
Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.
Quick Analysis
The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 1.62. The V4 confidence band is NONE with an expected ROI of -1.89% based on n=1157 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Spain Regional League (es). Odds movement is currently classified as Stable with Low volatility.
AI Match Insight
The odds suggest a clear favorite, although the recent form gap is not as dominant as the price might imply. If considered, this pick should be approached with caution due to the limited historical confidence.
Real Aranjuez – UD Usera Betting Analysis
| Result | Match | Odd | Exp. ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| WIN | Taubate U20 - Guaratingueta U20 | 1.62 | -3.38% |
| WIN | Club Brugge - Heerenveen | 1.50 | -3.82% |
| WIN | Minneapolis City SC Futures - West Virginia United | 1.57 | -3.38% |
| WIN | FK Austria Vienna II - SV Lafnitz | 1.67 | -1.89% |
| LOSS | Fujian Nanan (W) - Guangdong Yue Zhan (W) | 1.53 | -1.89% |
| LOSS | GKS Katowice (W) - Rekord Bielsko-Biala (W) | 1.57 | -3.38% |
| LOSS | Vidir Gardur - KH Hlidarendi | 1.67 | -3.82% |
| LOSS | Pakhtakor Tashkent - Lokomotiv Tashkent | 1.50 | -3.38% |
| Match | Pick | Odd | Exp. ROI | Kickoff |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Labasa FC - Suva FC | 1 | 1.53 | -3.38% | 18 Jul 03:15 |
| FC Baleine Shimonoseki - Variamore Aki | 1 | 1.62 | -3.38% | 18 Jul 09:00 |
| FC Melbourne Srbija - Port Melbourne SC | 1 | 1.50 | -1.89% | 18 Jul 10:15 |
| Wisla Krakow - SK Artis Brno | 1 | 1.73 | -3.38% | 18 Jul 11:00 |
| Viimsi JK (W) - Saku Sporting (W) | 1 | 1.70 | -1.89% | 18 Jul 11:30 |
| Shanghai Port U20 - Shandong Taishan U20 | 1 | 1.50 | -3.38% | 18 Jul 12:00 |
| NEC - Al Fayha | 1 | 1.67 | -3.82% | 18 Jul 14:00 |
| GKS Tychy 71 - MSK Povazska Bystrica | 1 | 1.73 | -1.89% | 18 Jul 15:00 |