Model: TIPPSA
Reilac Shiga – Giravanz Kitakyushu
PREDICTION
2
@ 2.48
StatusArchived prediction
KickoffMag 17, 2026 10:30 AM
ResultLOSS1 - 0
StartStarted 9d 13h ago
V2 ConfidenceMEDIUMExpected ROI 3.31% · n=578
V4 ConfidenceUNKNOWNExpected ROI 0.00% · n=0
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 9d 16h ago
Team Form & Goal Trends
Recent form based on completed matches before kickoff.
| Metric | Reilac Shiga | Giravanz Kitakyushu |
|---|---|---|
| Last 5 form | W-L-W-L-L | L-D-L-W-L |
| Avg goals scored | 1.00 | 0.80 |
| Avg goals conceded | 1.80 | 1.60 |
| Home/Away form | W-W-L-L-L (home) | L-D-L-W-D (away) |
| Home/Away avg goals | 0.80 scored / 2.00 conceded | 0.80 scored / 1.20 conceded |
| Shots on target | 2.00 for / 5.00 against | 5.80 for / 3.00 against |
| Home/Away shots on target | 1.60 for / 5.60 against (home) | 4.40 for / 2.40 against (away) |
AI Match Insight
Recent performances only partially support the selection, which helps explain the higher market price. The model gives this selection a reasonable profile, although the confidence level remains measured. Giravanz Kitakyushu has produced stronger recent offensive pressure in terms of shots on target.
Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds2.06First seen
Current2.48Now
Max odds2.48Highest point
Min odds2.06Lowest point
VolatilityHighStable range
TrendRisingShort term
Model insight
Reilac Shiga – Giravanz Kitakyushu Betting Analysis
The model currently selects 2 at odds 2.48. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSA model profile. The V2 confidence band is MEDIUM, with a historical expected ROI of 3.31% across 578 similar predictions. Historical expected profitability for this profile is positive, but the edge appears more moderate. The model profile is supported by a broad historical sample, making the long-term estimate more informative. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. The market moved significantly against the initial model price before kickoff. Historically, large late odds increases may indicate external factors not fully captured by the statistical framework. High pre-match volatility suggests increased uncertainty and rapidly changing market conditions. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample150
Win Rate40.0%
Profit-2.27u
Historical Similar Predictions
| Result | Match | Odd | Exp. ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| LOSS | SC Kiryat Yam - Maccabi Petah Tikva | 2.25 | 3.43% |
| LOSS | NK Radomlje - NS Mura | 2.55 | 4.13% |
| LOSS | ADO Den Haag (W) - PEC Zwolle (W) | 2.25 | 4.13% |
| WIN | Helsingborg - Varbergs BoIS FC | 2.63 | 4.13% |
| WIN | Guayaquil City - Orense | 2.48 | 3.59% |
| LOSS | AFC Hermannstadt - FCSB | 2.26 | 3.31% |
| LOSS | Kasimpasa - Galatasaray | 2.27 | 3.31% |
| WIN | Almagro - San Martin SJ | 2.62 | 4.44% |
Active Similar Predictions
| Match | Pick | Odd | Exp. ROI | Kickoff |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Retro FC Brasil - America RN | 2 | 2.70 | 3.31% | 30 Apr 02:30 |
Pick
2 @ 2.48
Kickoff
Mag 17, 2026 10:30 AM
Confidence
CONF: MEDIUM
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI 3.31% • n=578
Start
Started 9d 13h ago
Updated
Updated 9d 16h ago