Model: TIPPSA

Hibernian vs Gent

PREDICTION

@ 2.59

StatusArchived prediction

KickoffAgo 27, 2026 11:00 PM

ResultWIN2 - 3

StartStarted 1d 14h ago

V2 ConfidenceMEDIUMExpected ROI 4.13% · n=261

V4 ConfidenceMEDIUMExpected ROI 4.13% · n=261

Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.

Updated Updated 1d 16h ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is Gent. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: GentGoal/Shots Index — H: 0.085 | A: 0.051

Shots Rating

Shot volume edge from recent matches.

Away edge

Shots on Target

Higher weight signal based on shots on target.

Away edge

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V4) and market odds.

46/100

Low value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)

Start odds2.53First seen

Current2.60Now

Max odds2.76Highest point

Min odds2.49Lowest point

VolatilityHighStable range

TrendRisingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

HibernianHOME

GentAWAY

LDWDW

Recent form

WDWDW

Avg goals scored

1.00

1.60

Defensive weakness

0.80

Shots on target for

2.80

4.00

SoT conceded pressure

5.20

3.00

Home splitL-W-W-L-W2.00 scored / 1.40 conceded

Away splitW-W-W-D-D1.60 scored / 1.00 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 2 at odds 2.59. The V4 confidence band is MEDIUM with an expected ROI of 4.13% based on n=261 historical similar picks. The match belongs to UEFA Conference League Qualifying. Odds movement is currently classified as Rising with High volatility.

Pick2

Odd2.59

V2 BandMEDIUMROI 4.13% · n=261

V4 BandMEDIUMROI 4.13% · n=261

Odds TrendRising

VolatilityHigh

AI Match Insight

Despite entering the match at a generous price, Gent has produced enough positive indicators to justify attention. This sits in a middle confidence range, suggesting a balanced but not especially dominant setup. Shot-on-target data gives additional support to Gent's attacking profile.

Current Combo momentum is strong. Recent model performance has improved significantly over the last 7-15 days, suggesting the system is currently adapting well to recent match conditions.

3D: 9.6% 7D: 23.4% 15D: 7.6% 30D: 8.8%

Model insight

Hibernian – Gent Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 2 at odds 2.59. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSA model profile. Both V2 and V4 profiles currently show MEDIUM confidence, with historical expected ROI values of 4.13% and 4.13%. Historical expected profitability for this profile is positive, but the edge appears more moderate. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. Market movement remained relatively stable before kickoff, suggesting balanced sentiment around the initial model projection. High pre-match volatility suggests increased uncertainty and rapidly changing market conditions. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.

Sample164

Win Rate44.5%

Profit+21.19u

Historical Similar Predictions

Result	Match	Odd	Exp. ROI
LOSS	Dunfermline - Raith	2.66	3.59%
LOSS	Maccabi Tel Aviv - Lugano	2.75	3.61%
LOSS	Viborg - FC Copenhagen	2.36	4.13%
WIN	B68 Toftir - Skala IF	2.37	4.13%
WIN	Eyupspor - Gazisehir Gaziantep FK	2.57	3.59%
LOSS	SC Kfar Qasim - Hapoel Akko	2.35	4.13%
LOSS	FK Poprad - FC Lokomotiva Kosice	2.43	4.13%
WIN	NJS - MuSa	2.38	4.13%

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Grazer AK - Wolfsberger AC	2	2.72	3.43%	29 Aug 17:00
KVC Houtvenne - OH Leuven II	2	2.41	3.59%	29 Aug 20:00

Pick

2 @ 2.59

Kickoff

Ago 27, 2026 11:00 PM

Confidence

CONF: MEDIUM

Exp. ROI V2

Exp. ROI 4.13% • n=261

Confidence V4

CONF V4: MEDIUM

Exp. ROI V4

4.13% • n=261

Start

Started 1d 14h ago

Updated

Updated 1d 16h ago