Model: TIPPSH

Znicz Pruszków vs Olimpia Grudziadz

PREDICTION

@ 2.35

StatusUpcoming

KickoffAgo 16, 2026 2:00 PM

ResultPending

StartStarts in 14h 43m

V2 ConfidenceLOWExpected ROI 1.59% · n=2341

V4 ConfidenceUNKNOWNExpected ROI 0.00% · n=0

Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.

Updated Updated 8h 10m ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is Znicz Pruszków. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: Znicz PruszkówGoal/Shots Index — H: 0.058 | A: -0.007

Shots Rating

Shot volume edge from recent matches.

Home edge

Shots on Target

Higher weight signal based on shots on target.

Home edge

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V2) and market odds.

34/100

Low value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)

Start odds2.42First seen

Current2.35Now

Max odds2.42Highest point

Min odds2.35Lowest point

VolatilityLowStable range

TrendDroppingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

Znicz PruszkówHOME

Olimpia GrudziadzAWAY

WWWWW

Recent form

DWDDL

Avg goals scored

2.60

2.20

Defensive weakness

1.00

2.40

Shots on target for

8.20

4.80

SoT conceded pressure

3.60

3.80

Home splitW-W-W-W-W2.40 scored / 1.20 conceded

Away splitD-D-D-L-W2.00 scored / 2.20 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 2.35. The V2 confidence band is LOW with an expected ROI of 1.59% based on n=2341 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Poland II Liga (pl). Odds movement is currently classified as Dropping with Low volatility.

Pick1

Odd2.35

V2 BandLOWROI 1.59% · n=2341

V4 BandUNKNOWNROI 0.00% · n=0

Odds TrendDropping

VolatilityLow

AI Match Insight

This looks like a competitive matchup, although the form profile gives the selected side some support. The model does not assign a strong confidence profile here, making the pick more speculative. Znicz Pruszków has produced stronger recent offensive pressure in terms of shots on target.

Current Combo momentum is mixed. Recent results show alternating performance between short-term and medium-term windows.

3D: -25.1% 7D: -15.5% 15D: 6.3% 30D: 6.5%

Model insight

Znicz Pruszków – Olimpia Grudziadz Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 1 at odds 2.35. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSH model profile. The V2 confidence band is LOW, with a historical expected ROI of 1.59% across 2341 similar predictions. The model profile is supported by a broad historical sample, making the long-term estimate more informative. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. Market movement remained relatively stable before kickoff, suggesting balanced sentiment around the initial model projection. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.

Sample341

Win Rate44.9%

Profit+6.28u

Historical Similar Predictions

Result	Match	Odd	Exp. ROI
WIN	Pacatuba - Esporte Limoeiro	2.44	1.59%
WIN	JK Tallinna Kalev - FC Elva	2.43	1.59%
WIN	Tigre U20 - Racing Club U20	2.21	1.31%
WIN	Newell's U20 - San Lorenzo U20	2.10	1.04%
LOSS	Northampton - Swindon	2.13	1.04%
WIN	Lautaro de Buin - Malleco Unido	2.50	1.59%
LOSS	Saku Sporting (W) - Viimsi JK (W)	2.20	1.31%
LOSS	Stamford - Racing Club Warwick	2.20	1.31%

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Pick

1 @ 2.35

Kickoff

Ago 16, 2026 2:00 PM

Confidence

CONF: LOW

Exp. ROI V2

Exp. ROI 1.59% • n=2341

Start

Starts in 14h 43m

Updated

Updated 8h 10m ago