Model: TIPPSH
Rot-Weiss Essen – Greuther Furth
PREDICTION
1
@ 2.84
StatusArchived prediction
KickoffMag 22, 2026 10:30 PM
ResultWIN1 - 0
StartStarted 4d 3h ago
V2 ConfidenceMEDIUMExpected ROI 4.53% · n=669
V4 ConfidenceUNKNOWNExpected ROI 0.00% · n=0
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 4d 7h ago
Team Form & Goal Trends
Recent form based on completed matches before kickoff.
| Metric | Rot-Weiss Essen | Greuther Furth |
|---|---|---|
| Last 5 form | W-W-W-L-L | L-W-L-D-L |
| Avg goals scored | 1.40 | 1.20 |
| Avg goals conceded | 2.00 | 1.20 |
| Home/Away form | W-W-L-W-W (home) | L-L-L-D (away) |
| Home/Away avg goals | 1.60 scored / 0.60 conceded | 0.50 scored / 1.25 conceded |
| Shots on target | 6.20 for / 3.40 against | 4.60 for / 3.80 against |
| Home/Away shots on target | 5.00 for / 2.20 against (home) | 3.50 for / 4.00 against (away) |
AI Match Insight
The market offers a relatively high price, but recent statistical trends still provide meaningful support for Rot-Weiss Essen. The model gives this selection a reasonable profile, although the confidence level remains measured. Rot-Weiss Essen has produced stronger recent offensive pressure in terms of shots on target.
Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds2.90First seen
Current2.88Now
Max odds3.05Highest point
Min odds2.65Lowest point
VolatilityHighStable range
TrendDroppingShort term
Model insight
Rot-Weiss Essen – Greuther Furth Betting Analysis
The model currently selects 1 at odds 2.84. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSH model profile. The V2 confidence band is MEDIUM, with a historical expected ROI of 4.53% across 669 similar predictions. Historical expected profitability for this profile is positive, but the edge appears more moderate. The model profile is supported by a broad historical sample, making the long-term estimate more informative. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. Market movement remained relatively stable before kickoff, suggesting balanced sentiment around the initial model projection. High pre-match volatility suggests increased uncertainty and rapidly changing market conditions. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample3
Win Rate66.7%
Profit+2.38u
Historical Similar Predictions
| Result | Match | Odd | Exp. ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| WIN | Island Bay United - Petone FC | 2.68 | 2.49% |
| LOSS | Sao Goncalo - Cabofriense | 2.78 | 4.53% |
| WIN | USM Alger - Olympique Akbou | 2.70 | 2.49% |
Pick
1 @ 2.84
Kickoff
Mag 22, 2026 10:30 PM
Confidence
CONF: MEDIUM
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI 4.53% • n=669
Start
Started 4d 3h ago
Updated
Updated 4d 7h ago