Rot-Weiss Essen – Greuther Furth

Model: TIPPSH

Rot-Weiss Essen vs Greuther Furth

PREDICTION
1
@ 2.84
StatusArchived prediction
KickoffMag 22, 2026 10:30 PM
ResultWIN1 - 0
StartStarted 49d 23h ago
V2 ConfidenceMEDIUMExpected ROI 4.53% · n=669
V4 ConfidenceUNKNOWNExpected ROI 0.00% · n=0
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 50d 3h ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is Rot-Weiss Essen. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: Rot-Weiss Essen

Shots Rating

H
A
Rating unavailable for this archived pick.

Shots on Target

H
A
Rating unavailable for this archived pick.

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V2) and market odds.

49/100
Low value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds2.90First seen
Current2.88Now
Max odds3.05Highest point
Min odds2.65Lowest point
VolatilityHighStable range
TrendDroppingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

Rot-Weiss EssenHOME
VS
Greuther FurthAWAY
WWWLL
Recent form
LWLDL
Avg goals scored
1.40
1.20
Defensive weakness
2.00
1.20
Shots on target for
6.20
4.60
SoT conceded pressure
3.40
3.80
Home splitW-W-L-W-W1.60 scored / 0.60 conceded
Away splitL-L-L-D0.50 scored / 1.25 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 2.84. The V2 confidence band is MEDIUM with an expected ROI of 4.53% based on n=669 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Germany Bundesliga II Play-Offs (de). Odds movement is currently classified as Dropping with High volatility.

Pick1
Odd2.84
V2 BandMEDIUMROI 4.53% · n=669
V4 BandUNKNOWNROI 0.00% · n=0
Odds TrendDropping
VolatilityHigh

AI Match Insight

Although the odds are relatively high, Rot-Weiss Essen shows enough recent performance support to make the pick interesting from a risk/reward perspective. There is some statistical support behind the pick, but the historical signal is not strong enough to be aggressive. Rot-Weiss Essen is also generating more shots on target, adding offensive support to the pick.

Current Combo momentum is strong. Recent model performance has improved significantly over the last 7-15 days, suggesting the system is currently adapting well to recent match conditions.
3D: 34.5% 7D: 26.6% 15D: 20.4% 30D: 5.1%
Model insight

Rot-Weiss Essen – Greuther Furth Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 1 at odds 2.84. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSH model profile. The V2 confidence band is MEDIUM, with a historical expected ROI of 4.53% across 669 similar predictions. Historical expected profitability for this profile is positive, but the edge appears more moderate. The model profile is supported by a broad historical sample, making the long-term estimate more informative. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. Market movement remained relatively stable before kickoff, suggesting balanced sentiment around the initial model projection. High pre-match volatility suggests increased uncertainty and rapidly changing market conditions. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample28
Win Rate39.3%
Profit+2.61u
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Pick
1 @ 2.84
Kickoff
Mag 22, 2026 10:30 PM
Confidence
CONF: MEDIUM
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI 4.53% • n=669
Start
Started 49d 23h ago
Updated
Updated 50d 3h ago
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