Rot-Weiss Essen vs Greuther Furth
📊 Match Analysis
Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.
Game Context
The model side is Rot-Weiss Essen. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.
Edge: Rot-Weiss EssenValue Index
Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V2) and market odds.
Odds Movement
📊 Team Form (Last 5)
Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.
Quick Analysis
The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 2.84. The V2 confidence band is MEDIUM with an expected ROI of 4.53% based on n=669 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Germany Bundesliga II Play-Offs (de). Odds movement is currently classified as Dropping with High volatility.
AI Match Insight
Although the odds are relatively high, Rot-Weiss Essen shows enough recent performance support to make the pick interesting from a risk/reward perspective. There is some statistical support behind the pick, but the historical signal is not strong enough to be aggressive. Rot-Weiss Essen is also generating more shots on target, adding offensive support to the pick.
Rot-Weiss Essen – Greuther Furth Betting Analysis
| Result | Match | Odd | Exp. ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| LOSS | Fredrikstad - Lillestrom | 2.89 | 2.04% |
| WIN | San Diego Wave (W) - NJ/NY Gotham FC (W) | 2.89 | 4.53% |
| LOSS | Las Vegas Lights FC - El Paso Locomotive FC | 2.84 | 4.53% |
| LOSS | Vikingur Gota - NSI Runavik | 2.76 | 2.04% |
| WIN | Delaware FC - Real Central NJ | 2.80 | 4.53% |
| LOSS | FC Struga Trim & Lum - FC Dinamo City | 2.99 | 4.53% |
| LOSS | Eastern Suburbs Auckland - Birkenhead United | 2.79 | 4.53% |
| LOSS | Renaissance Zemamra - OC Safi | 2.85 | 4.53% |