Model: TIPPSH

Sagan Tosu vs Shonan Bellmare

PREDICTION

@ 1.99

StatusArchived prediction

KickoffGiu 06, 2026 2:00 PM

ResultWIN1 - 0

StartStarted 46d 4h ago

V2 ConfidenceLOWExpected ROI 1.31% · n=2537

V4 ConfidenceLOWExpected ROI 1.31% · n=2537

Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.

Updated Updated 46d 7h ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is Sagan Tosu. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: Sagan TosuGoal/Shots Index — H: — | A: —

Shots Rating

Rating unavailable for this archived pick.

Shots on Target

Rating unavailable for this archived pick.

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V4) and market odds.

29/100

Low value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)

Start odds2.16First seen

Current2.15Now

Max odds2.20Highest point

Min odds2.15Lowest point

VolatilityLowStable range

TrendDroppingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

Sagan TosuHOME

Shonan BellmareAWAY

WLDDW

Recent form

LLLLL

Avg goals scored

1.20

0.40

Defensive weakness

1.20

1.80

Shots on target for

3.00

1.80

SoT conceded pressure

2.20

5.20

Home splitW-D-D-W-D1.80 scored / 0.80 conceded

Away splitL-L-W-D-D0.80 scored / 1.20 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 1.99. The V4 confidence band is LOW with an expected ROI of 1.31% based on n=2537 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Japan J2/J3 Centennial League (jp). Odds movement is currently classified as Dropping with Low volatility.

Pick1

Odd1.99

V2 BandLOWROI 1.31% · n=2537

V4 BandLOWROI 1.31% · n=2537

Odds TrendDropping

VolatilityLow

AI Match Insight

The odds suggest a balanced contest, but recent performance data slightly favors Sagan Tosu. The model does not assign a strong confidence profile here, making the pick more speculative. Sagan Tosu has produced stronger recent offensive pressure in terms of shots on target.

Current Combo momentum is mixed. Recent results show alternating performance between short-term and medium-term windows.

3D: 7.1% 7D: -3.4% 15D: 15.7% 30D: 12.8%

Model insight

Sagan Tosu – Shonan Bellmare Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 1 at odds 1.99. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSH model profile. Both V2 and V4 profiles currently show LOW confidence, with historical expected ROI values of 1.31% and 1.31%. The model profile is supported by a broad historical sample, making the long-term estimate more informative. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. Market movement remained relatively stable before kickoff, suggesting balanced sentiment around the initial model projection. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.

Sample396

Win Rate47.5%

Profit-25.04u

Historical Similar Predictions

Result	Match	Odd	Exp. ROI
LOSS	FK Sloga Doboj - Ajman SCC	2.20	1.04%
LOSS	Penarol Reserves - Racing Club de Montevideo Reserves	2.13	1.04%
LOSS	Al Ansar Beirut - Al Nejmeh	2.17	1.04%
WIN	Flint City Bucks - Steel City	1.81	1.04%
LOSS	Arsenal Tula - Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk	1.79	1.04%
WIN	Sao Joao del Rei U20 - Inter De Minas U20	2.24	1.04%
WIN	South East United FC - Launceston United	1.95	1.04%
WIN	St Pauli - HNK Gorica	2.01	1.04%

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Pick

1 @ 1.99

Kickoff

Giu 06, 2026 2:00 PM

Confidence

CONF: LOW

Exp. ROI V2

Exp. ROI 1.31% • n=2537

Confidence V4

CONF V4: LOW

Exp. ROI V4

1.31% • n=2537

Start

Started 46d 4h ago

Updated

Updated 46d 7h ago