Model: TipTromba35H
Saint Priest – US Lusitanos Saint-Maur
PREDICTION
1
@ 3.10
StatusArchived prediction
KickoffMag 02, 2026 8:00 PM
ResultLOSS2 - 3
StartStarted 24d 5h ago
V2 ConfidenceMEDIUMExpected ROI 3.58% · n=665
V4 ConfidenceHIGHExpected ROI 5.36% · n=211
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 24d 18h ago
Team Form & Goal Trends
Recent form based on completed matches before kickoff.
| Metric | Saint Priest | US Lusitanos Saint-Maur |
|---|---|---|
| Last 5 form | L-D-W-D-L | W-W-D-W-W |
| Avg goals scored | 1.00 | 2.20 |
| Avg goals conceded | 1.20 | 1.00 |
| Home/Away form | L-W-L (home) | W-W-W (away) |
| Home/Away avg goals | 1.33 scored / 1.67 conceded | 2.67 scored / 1.00 conceded |
| Shots on target | 6.80 for / 2.80 against | 4.75 for / 5.25 against |
| Home/Away shots on target | 7.33 for / 3.67 against (home) | 5.00 for / 6.00 against (away) |
AI Match Insight
The current odds underline the speculative nature of the pick, particularly given the recent form imbalance. The confidence profile is moderate, so the pick has statistical support but should not be treated as a low-risk prediction. Saint Priest has produced stronger recent offensive pressure in terms of shots on target.
Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds3.10First seen
Current3.21Now
Max odds3.22Highest point
Min odds3.10Lowest point
VolatilityMediumStable range
TrendRisingShort term
Model insight
Saint Priest – US Lusitanos Saint-Maur Betting Analysis
The model currently selects 1 at odds 3.10. This prediction is generated by the TipTromba35H model profile. The V2 confidence band is MEDIUM, with a historical expected ROI of 3.58% across 665 similar predictions. The V4 confidence band is HIGH, with a historical expected ROI of 5.36% across 211 historical samples. Historical expected profitability for this profile is positive, but the edge appears more moderate. The model profile is supported by a broad historical sample, making the long-term estimate more informative. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. Market movement remained relatively stable before kickoff, suggesting balanced sentiment around the initial model projection. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample90
Win Rate28.9%
Profit-7.60u
Historical Similar Predictions
| Result | Match | Odd | Exp. ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| WIN | Hangzhou Linping Wuyue - Hubei Istar | 3.00 | 3.85% |
| LOSS | Uberabinha U20 - Inter De Minas U20 | 3.25 | 3.56% |
| LOSS | Ballymun United - St Francis FC | 3.00 | 3.85% |
| LOSS | KF Ferizaj - KF Dukagjini | 3.30 | 3.56% |
| LOSS | Wynnum Wolves U23 - Brisbane Olympic FC U23 | 3.00 | 3.85% |
| LOSS | Central Coast United FC - Bonnyrigg White Eagles | 3.25 | 3.56% |
| LOSS | Hills United FC - Blacktown Spartans | 3.10 | 3.85% |
| LOSS | Chattanooga Red Wolves - Birmingham Legion FC | 3.20 | 3.58% |
Active Similar Predictions
| Match | Pick | Odd | Exp. ROI | Kickoff |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cyprus U19 - Greece U19 | 1 | 3.25 | 3.56% | 27 May 09:00 |
| CF Os Belenenses - SC Farense | 1 | 3.00 | 2.17% | 30 May 21:30 |
Pick
1 @ 3.10
Kickoff
Mag 02, 2026 8:00 PM
Confidence
CONF: MEDIUM
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI 3.58% • n=665
Confidence V4
Exp. ROI V4
5.36% • n=211
Start
Started 24d 5h ago
Updated
Updated 24d 18h ago