Model: TIPPSA
Salisbury United – Adelaide Atletico
PREDICTION
2
@ 2.51
StatusArchived prediction
KickoffMag 09, 2026 9:30 AM
ResultWIN1 - 2
StartStarted 17d 19h ago
V2 ConfidenceMEDIUMExpected ROI 3.31% · n=578
V4 ConfidenceLOWExpected ROI 0.40% · n=230
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 17d 21h ago
Team Form & Goal Trends
Recent form based on completed matches before kickoff.
| Metric | Salisbury United | Adelaide Atletico |
|---|---|---|
| Last 5 form | L-L-L-L | W-L-W-W |
| Avg goals scored | 1.00 | 2.25 |
| Avg goals conceded | 3.00 | 1.00 |
| Home/Away form | L-L-L (home) | W-W (away) |
| Home/Away avg goals | 1.33 scored / 3.00 conceded | 2.00 scored / 1.00 conceded |
| Shots on target | 5.00 for / 7.50 against | 4.25 for / 4.25 against |
| Home/Away shots on target | 6.67 for / 7.67 against (home) | 3.00 for / 5.00 against (away) |
AI Match Insight
Despite entering the match at a generous price, Adelaide Atletico has produced enough positive indicators to justify attention. There is some statistical support behind the pick, but the historical signal is not strong enough to be aggressive.
Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds2.25First seen
Current2.51Now
Max odds2.65Highest point
Min odds2.25Lowest point
VolatilityHighStable range
TrendRisingShort term
Model insight
Salisbury United – Adelaide Atletico Betting Analysis
The model currently selects 2 at odds 2.51. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSA model profile. The V2 confidence band is MEDIUM, with a historical expected ROI of 3.31% across 578 similar predictions. The V4 confidence band is LOW, with a historical expected ROI of 0.40% across 230 historical samples. Historical expected profitability for this profile is positive, but the edge appears more moderate. The model profile is supported by a broad historical sample, making the long-term estimate more informative. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. The market moved significantly against the initial model price before kickoff. Historically, large late odds increases may indicate external factors not fully captured by the statistical framework. High pre-match volatility suggests increased uncertainty and rapidly changing market conditions. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample143
Win Rate41.3%
Profit+3.98u
Historical Similar Predictions
| Result | Match | Odd | Exp. ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| LOSS | NK Radomlje - NS Mura | 2.55 | 4.13% |
| WIN | Helsingborg - Varbergs BoIS FC | 2.63 | 4.13% |
| WIN | Guayaquil City - Orense | 2.48 | 3.59% |
| LOSS | AFC Hermannstadt - FCSB | 2.26 | 3.31% |
| LOSS | Kasimpasa - Galatasaray | 2.27 | 3.31% |
| WIN | Almagro - San Martin SJ | 2.62 | 4.44% |
| WIN | Polonia Bytom - Slask Wroclaw | 2.57 | 3.31% |
| WIN | FH Hafnarfjordur - KA Akureyri | 2.54 | 4.44% |
Active Similar Predictions
| Match | Pick | Odd | Exp. ROI | Kickoff |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Retro FC Brasil - America RN | 2 | 2.70 | 3.31% | 30 Apr 02:30 |
Pick
2 @ 2.51
Kickoff
Mag 09, 2026 9:30 AM
Confidence
CONF: MEDIUM
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI 3.31% • n=578
Confidence V4
Exp. ROI V4
0.40% • n=230
Start
Started 17d 19h ago
Updated
Updated 17d 21h ago