Model: TIPPSA
Samgurali – Dinamo Tbilisi
PREDICTION
2
@ 2.24
StatusArchived prediction
KickoffApr 25, 2026 8:00 PM
ResultWIN1 - 2
StartStarted 31d 4h ago
V2 ConfidenceLOWExpected ROI 0.58% · n=409
V4 ConfidenceUNKNOWNExpected ROI 0.00% · n=0
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 31d 6h ago
Team Form & Goal Trends
Recent form based on completed matches before kickoff.
| Metric | Samgurali | Dinamo Tbilisi |
|---|---|---|
| Last 5 form | L-L-L-L-W | W-L-D-D-D |
| Avg goals scored | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| Avg goals conceded | 2.40 | 1.00 |
| Home/Away form | L-L-W (home) | W-D (away) |
| Home/Away avg goals | 1.00 scored / 1.33 conceded | 1.00 scored / 0.50 conceded |
| Shots on target | 4.00 for / 6.40 against | 6.00 for / 3.60 against |
| Home/Away shots on target | 5.00 for / 6.00 against (home) | 7.00 for / 5.00 against (away) |
AI Match Insight
In a fairly competitive price range, recent form gives Dinamo Tbilisi a useful statistical edge. This selection carries a lower-confidence signal, so the risk profile remains elevated. Dinamo Tbilisi is also generating more shots on target, adding offensive support to the pick.
Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds2.05First seen
Current2.24Now
Max odds2.26Highest point
Min odds2.05Lowest point
VolatilityHighStable range
TrendRisingShort term
Model insight
Samgurali – Dinamo Tbilisi Betting Analysis
The model currently selects 2 at odds 2.24. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSA model profile. The V2 confidence band is LOW, with a historical expected ROI of 0.58% across 409 similar predictions. The model profile is supported by a broad historical sample, making the long-term estimate more informative. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. The market moved significantly against the initial model price before kickoff. Historically, large late odds increases may indicate external factors not fully captured by the statistical framework. High pre-match volatility suggests increased uncertainty and rapidly changing market conditions. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample87
Win Rate50.6%
Profit+6.73u
Historical Similar Predictions
| Result | Match | Odd | Exp. ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| WIN | Chengdu Rongcheng Reserves - Guizhou Zhucheng Athletic | 2.26 | 0.84% |
| WIN | Unam Pumas - Cruz Azul | 2.38 | 0.84% |
| LOSS | Nottm Forest - Bournemouth | 2.02 | 1.21% |
| LOSS | Usti N Orlici - Slovan Liberec B | 2.03 | 1.21% |
| WIN | Frem - Holbæk | 2.39 | 0.84% |
| LOSS | PFC Oleksandria - FC Kryvbas Kriviy Rih | 2.27 | 0.84% |
| LOSS | Rebordosa - Leca | 2.36 | 0.84% |
| WIN | Brondby - FC Copenhagen | 2.29 | 0.84% |
Pick
2 @ 2.24
Kickoff
Apr 25, 2026 8:00 PM
Confidence
CONF: LOW
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI 0.58% • n=409
Start
Started 31d 4h ago
Updated
Updated 31d 6h ago