Sampaio Correa – Iguatu

Model: TIPPSH

Sampaio Correa vs Iguatu

PREDICTION
1
@ 1.72
StatusArchived prediction
KickoffGiu 07, 2026 10:30 PM
ResultLOSS0 - 1
StartStarted 57d 10h ago
V2 ConfidenceNONEExpected ROI -7.35% · n=1010
V4 ConfidenceNONEExpected ROI -7.35% · n=1010
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 57d 12h ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is Sampaio Correa. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: Sampaio CorreaGoal/Shots Index — H: — | A: —

Shots Rating

H
A
Rating unavailable for this archived pick.

Shots on Target

H
A
Rating unavailable for this archived pick.

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V4) and market odds.

3/100
Poor value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds1.77First seen
Current1.72Now
Max odds1.77Highest point
Min odds1.57Lowest point
VolatilityHighStable range
TrendDroppingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

Sampaio CorreaHOME
VS
IguatuAWAY
LWWWD
Recent form
WDDDW
Avg goals scored
2.40
1.60
Defensive weakness
0.80
1.00
Shots on target for
5.20
4.80
SoT conceded pressure
3.80
4.00
Home splitL-W-W-D-D1.60 scored / 0.40 conceded
Away splitW-D-D-D-W1.00 scored / 0.40 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 1.72. The V4 confidence band is NONE with an expected ROI of -7.35% based on n=1010 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Brazil Serie D (br). Odds movement is currently classified as Dropping with High volatility.

Pick1
Odd1.72
V2 BandNONEROI -7.35% · n=1010
V4 BandNONEROI -7.35% · n=1010
Odds TrendDropping
VolatilityHigh

AI Match Insight

The market is strongly leaning toward Sampaio Correa, but the statistical edge looks less pronounced. The model does not assign a strong confidence profile here, making the pick more speculative.

Current Combo momentum is mixed. Recent results show alternating performance between short-term and medium-term windows.
3D: -15.1% 7D: -12.8% 15D: 1.9% 30D: 12.2%
Model insight

Sampaio Correa – Iguatu Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 1 at odds 1.72. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSH model profile. Both V2 and V4 profiles currently show NONE confidence, with historical expected ROI values of -7.35% and -7.35%. Historical performance for this profile has been negative or unstable, so this signal should be treated with additional caution. The model profile is supported by a broad historical sample, making the long-term estimate more informative. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. Market movement remained relatively stable before kickoff, suggesting balanced sentiment around the initial model projection. High pre-match volatility suggests increased uncertainty and rapidly changing market conditions. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample291
Win Rate59.1%
Profit-1.89u
Historical Similar Predictions
ResultMatchOddExp. ROI
WINHammarby TFF - FC Arlanda1.63-7.35%
WINOlimpia Asuncion - Rubio Nu1.75-9.21%
WINFC Nordsjaelland - Randers FC1.65-6.04%
WINQviding FIF - BK Astrio1.62-10.11%
WINDeportivo Santaní - Encarnacion FC1.70-7.35%
WINLegia Warsaw - Zaglebie Lubin1.62-7.35%
WINBocas - Veraguas United Reserves1.63-10.11%
WINZamora - Deportivo Rayo Zuliano1.68-9.21%
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Pick
1 @ 1.72
Kickoff
Giu 07, 2026 10:30 PM
Confidence
CONF: NONE
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI -7.35% • n=1010
Confidence V4
Exp. ROI V4
-7.35% • n=1010
Start
Started 57d 10h ago
Updated
Updated 57d 12h ago
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