Model: TIPPSH

San Diego FC vs FC Dallas

PREDICTION

@ 2.29

StatusArchived prediction

KickoffLug 26, 2026 5:30 AM

ResultWIN1 - 0

StartStarted 2h 56m ago

V2 ConfidenceLOWExpected ROI 1.59% · n=2341

V4 ConfidenceUNKNOWNExpected ROI 0.00% · n=0

Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.

Updated Updated 4h 58m ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is San Diego FC. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: San Diego FCGoal/Shots Index — H: 0.008 | A: 0.110

Shots Rating

Shot volume edge from recent matches.

Home edge

Shots on Target

Higher weight signal based on shots on target.

Balanced

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V2) and market odds.

34/100

Low value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)

Start odds2.12First seen

Current2.31Now

Max odds2.40Highest point

Min odds2.12Lowest point

VolatilityHighStable range

TrendRisingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

San Diego FCHOME

FC DallasAWAY

WLLDW

Recent form

LDWWL

Avg goals scored

2.20

1.80

Defensive weakness

1.60

1.80

Shots on target for

5.80

3.60

SoT conceded pressure

4.80

6.20

Home splitW-L-D-W-D2.60 scored / 1.80 conceded

Away splitL-D-W-W-W1.80 scored / 1.20 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 2.29. The V2 confidence band is LOW with an expected ROI of 1.59% based on n=2341 historical similar picks. The match belongs to USA MLS (us). Odds movement is currently classified as Rising with High volatility.

Pick1

Odd2.29

V2 BandLOWROI 1.59% · n=2341

V4 BandUNKNOWNROI 0.00% · n=0

Odds TrendRising

VolatilityHigh

AI Match Insight

With no dominant recent form edge, the pick should be interpreted mainly through the model's historical profile. The model does not assign a strong confidence profile here, making the pick more speculative. San Diego FC has produced stronger recent offensive pressure in terms of shots on target.

Current Combo momentum is strong. Recent model performance has improved significantly over the last 7-15 days, suggesting the system is currently adapting well to recent match conditions.

3D: 7.1% 7D: 20.5% 15D: 15.2% 30D: 21.6%

Model insight

San Diego FC – FC Dallas Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 1 at odds 2.29. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSH model profile. The V2 confidence band is LOW, with a historical expected ROI of 1.59% across 2341 similar predictions. The model profile is supported by a broad historical sample, making the long-term estimate more informative. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. The market moved significantly against the initial model price before kickoff. Historically, large late odds increases may indicate external factors not fully captured by the statistical framework. High pre-match volatility suggests increased uncertainty and rapidly changing market conditions. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.

Sample262

Win Rate47.3%

Profit+11.94u

Historical Similar Predictions

Result	Match	Odd	Exp. ROI
WIN	Albirex Niigata - Montedio Yamagata	2.31	1.59%
LOSS	Wolverhampton - Real Sociedad	2.07	1.31%
LOSS	Real Murcia - Port Vale	2.31	1.59%
LOSS	Birkirkara - Sliema Wanderers	2.28	1.59%
LOSS	Polissya Zhytomyr II - UCSA	2.29	1.59%
LOSS	Barry Town - Gloucester	2.40	1.59%
LOSS	Albirex Niigata - Montedio Yamagata	2.05	1.04%
WIN	Philadelphia Union - Seattle Sounders	2.15	1.31%

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Pick

1 @ 2.29

Kickoff

Lug 26, 2026 5:30 AM

Confidence

CONF: LOW

Exp. ROI V2

Exp. ROI 1.59% • n=2341

Start

Started 2h 56m ago

Updated

Updated 4h 58m ago