Sao Goncalo vs Cabofriense
📊 Match Analysis
Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.
Game Context
The model side is Sao Goncalo. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.
Edge: Sao GoncaloValue Index
Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V4) and market odds.
Odds Movement
📊 Team Form (Last 5)
Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.
Quick Analysis
The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 2.75. The V4 confidence band is NONE with an expected ROI of -2.58% based on n=51 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Brazil Campeonato Carioca A2 (br). Odds movement is currently classified as Rising with High volatility.
AI Match Insight
The elevated odds reflect a naturally higher-risk profile, especially because recent form does not clearly favor Sao Goncalo. There is some statistical support behind the pick, but the historical signal is not strong enough to be aggressive. Sao Goncalo has produced stronger recent offensive pressure in terms of shots on target.
Sao Goncalo – Cabofriense Betting Analysis
| Result | Match | Odd | Exp. ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| LOSS | Fredrikstad - Lillestrom | 2.89 | 2.04% |
| WIN | San Diego Wave (W) - NJ/NY Gotham FC (W) | 2.89 | 4.53% |
| LOSS | Las Vegas Lights FC - El Paso Locomotive FC | 2.84 | 4.53% |
| WIN | Angel City FC (W) - Orlando Pride (W) | 2.52 | 2.49% |
| LOSS | Vikingur Gota - NSI Runavik | 2.76 | 2.04% |
| WIN | Delaware FC - Real Central NJ | 2.80 | 4.53% |
| LOSS | FC Struga Trim & Lum - FC Dinamo City | 2.99 | 4.53% |
| WIN | IF Gnistan (W) - PK-35 Vantaa (W) | 2.55 | 2.49% |