Sao Goncalo vs Cabofriense
📊 Match Analysis
Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.
Game Context
The model side is Sao Goncalo. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.
Edge: Sao GoncaloValue Index
Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V4) and market odds.
Odds Movement
📊 Team Form (Last 5)
Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.
Quick Analysis
The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 2.75. The V4 confidence band is NONE with an expected ROI of -2.58% based on n=51 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Brazil Campeonato Carioca A2 (br). Odds movement is currently classified as Rising with High volatility.
AI Match Insight
Recent performances only partially support the selection, which helps explain the higher market price. This sits in a middle confidence range, suggesting a balanced but not especially dominant setup. Shot-on-target data gives additional support to Sao Goncalo's attacking profile.
Sao Goncalo – Cabofriense Betting Analysis
| Result | Match | Odd | Exp. ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| LOSS | Fredrikstad - Lillestrom | 2.89 | 2.04% |
| WIN | San Diego Wave (W) - NJ/NY Gotham FC (W) | 2.89 | 4.53% |
| LOSS | Las Vegas Lights FC - El Paso Locomotive FC | 2.84 | 4.53% |
| WIN | Angel City FC (W) - Orlando Pride (W) | 2.52 | 2.49% |
| LOSS | Vikingur Gota - NSI Runavik | 2.76 | 2.04% |
| WIN | Delaware FC - Real Central NJ | 2.80 | 4.53% |
| LOSS | FC Struga Trim & Lum - FC Dinamo City | 2.99 | 4.53% |
| WIN | IF Gnistan (W) - PK-35 Vantaa (W) | 2.55 | 2.49% |