Sao Paulo (W) – Santos (W)

Model: TIPPSH

Sao Paulo (W) vs Santos (W)

PREDICTION
1
@ 1.71
StatusArchived prediction
KickoffMag 26, 2026 12:30 AM
ResultWIN3 - 0
StartStarted 46d 13h ago
V2 ConfidenceNONEExpected ROI -9.21% · n=1970
V4 ConfidenceUNKNOWNExpected ROI 0.00% · n=0
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 46d 15h ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is Sao Paulo (W). This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: Sao Paulo (W)

Shots Rating

H
A
Rating unavailable for this archived pick.

Shots on Target

H
A
Rating unavailable for this archived pick.

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V2) and market odds.

3/100
Poor value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds1.56First seen
Current1.71Now
Max odds1.71Highest point
Min odds1.56Lowest point
VolatilityHighStable range
TrendRisingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

Sao Paulo (W)HOME
VS
Santos (W)AWAY
WLWLW
Recent form
LDLDW
Avg goals scored
1.40
0.80
Defensive weakness
0.80
1.20
Shots on target for
5.20
2.80
SoT conceded pressure
3.80
4.60
Home splitW-L-W-W-W1.80 scored / 0.60 conceded
Away splitL-D-W-L-D1.00 scored / 1.40 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 1.71. The V2 confidence band is NONE with an expected ROI of -9.21% based on n=1970 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Brazil Serie A1 Women (br). Odds movement is currently classified as Rising with High volatility.

Pick1
Odd1.71
V2 BandNONEROI -9.21% · n=1970
V4 BandUNKNOWNROI 0.00% · n=0
Odds TrendRising
VolatilityHigh

AI Match Insight

The short price is supported by recent form data, with Sao Paulo (W) showing a clearer performance edge. If considered, this pick should be approached with caution due to the limited historical confidence. Sao Paulo (W) is also generating more shots on target, adding offensive support to the pick.

Current Combo momentum is strong. Recent model performance has improved significantly over the last 7-15 days, suggesting the system is currently adapting well to recent match conditions.
3D: 47.4% 7D: 33.3% 15D: 25.0% 30D: 8.9%
Model insight

Sao Paulo (W) – Santos (W) Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 1 at odds 1.71. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSH model profile. The V2 confidence band is NONE, with a historical expected ROI of -9.21% across 1970 similar predictions. The model profile is supported by a broad historical sample, making the long-term estimate more informative. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. The market moved significantly against the initial model price before kickoff. Historically, large late odds increases may indicate external factors not fully captured by the statistical framework. Moderate odds volatility indicates some market disagreement during the pre-match phase. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample196
Win Rate58.2%
Profit-4.74u
Historical Similar Predictions
ResultMatchOddExp. ROI
WINNWS Spirit FC - St George Saints1.72-9.89%
WINNjardvik - Grindavik1.62-7.35%
LOSSAtletico Grau - Carlos Manucci1.64-7.35%
LOSSDundalk - Drogheda United1.64-9.21%
WINCento Cuore Harima - Ococias Kyoto AC1.72-9.21%
LOSSLoudoun United FC - Sporting JAX1.68-9.21%
WINProvincial Osorno - General Velásquez1.62-9.21%
WINFerro Carril Oeste - CA San Telmo1.67-7.35%
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Pick
1 @ 1.71
Kickoff
Mag 26, 2026 12:30 AM
Confidence
CONF: NONE
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI -9.21% • n=1970
Start
Started 46d 13h ago
Updated
Updated 46d 15h ago
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