Elfsborg – Vasteras SK

Model: TIPPSH

Elfsborg vs Vasteras SK

PREDICTION
1
@ 1.82
StatusUpcoming
KickoffAgo 14, 2026 9:00 PM
ResultPending
StartStarts in 13h 41m
V2 ConfidenceLOWExpected ROI 1.04% · n=5438
V4 ConfidenceUNKNOWNExpected ROI 0.00% · n=0
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 12m ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is Elfsborg. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: ElfsborgGoal/Shots Index — H: -0.033 | A: -0.023

Shots Rating

H
A
i

Shot volume edge from recent matches.

Home edge

Shots on Target

H
A
i

Higher weight signal based on shots on target.

Balanced

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V2) and market odds.

26/100
Low value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds2.10First seen
Current1.82Now
Max odds2.10Highest point
Min odds1.82Lowest point
VolatilityHighStable range
TrendDroppingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

ElfsborgHOME
VS
Vasteras SKAWAY
WWLLL
Recent form
WLWDW
Avg goals scored
1.00
1.00
Defensive weakness
1.40
1.20
Shots on target for
4.40
4.20
SoT conceded pressure
6.00
4.60
Home splitL-L-D-D-W1.20 scored / 1.40 conceded
Away splitL-D-W-L-W1.60 scored / 2.40 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 1.82. The V2 confidence band is LOW with an expected ROI of 1.04% based on n=5438 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Sweden Allsvenskan (se). Odds movement is currently classified as Dropping with High volatility.

Pick1
Odd1.82
V2 BandLOWROI 1.04% · n=5438
V4 BandUNKNOWNROI 0.00% · n=0
Odds TrendDropping
VolatilityHigh

AI Match Insight

The matchup looks relatively balanced, so the value of the pick depends more on the model profile than on a clear form advantage. If considered, this pick should be approached with caution due to the limited historical confidence.

Current Combo momentum is mixed. Recent results show alternating performance between short-term and medium-term windows.
3D: -15.5% 7D: -0.6% 15D: 14.1% 30D: 9.5%
Model insight

Elfsborg – Vasteras SK Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 1 at odds 1.82. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSH model profile. The V2 confidence band is LOW, with a historical expected ROI of 1.04% across 5438 similar predictions. The model profile is supported by a broad historical sample, making the long-term estimate more informative. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. The prediction received strong market support after the first appearance. Early prices historically produced the best long-term performance for this model profile. High pre-match volatility suggests increased uncertainty and rapidly changing market conditions. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample465
Win Rate50.3%
Profit-20.47u
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Pick
1 @ 1.82
Kickoff
Ago 14, 2026 9:00 PM
Confidence
CONF: LOW
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI 1.04% • n=5438
Start
Starts in 13h 41m
Updated
Updated 12m ago
Torna in alto