Shenzhen Xinpengcheng – Dalian Young Boy

Model: TIPPSA

Shenzhen Xinpengcheng vs Dalian Young Boy

PREDICTION
2
@ 2.86
StatusArchived prediction
KickoffMag 19, 2026 3:35 PM
ResultLOSS1 - 1
StartStarted 63d 19h ago
V2 ConfidenceMEDIUMExpected ROI 4.96% · n=166
V4 ConfidenceUNKNOWNExpected ROI 0.00% · n=0
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 64d 2h ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is Dalian Young Boy. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: Dalian Young BoyGoal/Shots Index — H: — | A: —

Shots Rating

H
A
Rating unavailable for this archived pick.

Shots on Target

H
A
Rating unavailable for this archived pick.

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V2) and market odds.

51/100
Good value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds2.64First seen
Current2.88Now
Max odds3.01Highest point
Min odds2.58Lowest point
VolatilityHighStable range
TrendRisingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

Shenzhen XinpengchengHOME
VS
Dalian Young BoyAWAY
DLLDL
Recent form
DLLLW
Avg goals scored
0.80
1.00
Defensive weakness
1.40
2.00
Shots on target for
2.80
4.80
SoT conceded pressure
5.20
4.80
Home splitD-L-W-L-L1.20 scored / 1.60 conceded
Away splitD-L-L-W-W1.00 scored / 1.60 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 2 at odds 2.86. The V2 confidence band is MEDIUM with an expected ROI of 4.96% based on n=166 historical similar picks. The match belongs to China Super League (cn). Odds movement is currently classified as Rising with High volatility.

Pick2
Odd2.86
V2 BandMEDIUMROI 4.96% · n=166
V4 BandUNKNOWNROI 0.00% · n=0
Odds TrendRising
VolatilityHigh

AI Match Insight

The market offers a relatively high price, but recent statistical trends still provide meaningful support for Dalian Young Boy. The confidence profile is moderate, so the pick has statistical support but should not be treated as a low-risk prediction. Shot-on-target data gives additional support to Dalian Young Boy's attacking profile.

Current Combo momentum is strong. Recent model performance has improved significantly over the last 7-15 days, suggesting the system is currently adapting well to recent match conditions.
3D: -1.5% 7D: 20.7% 15D: 6.8% 30D: 1.4%
Model insight

Shenzhen Xinpengcheng – Dalian Young Boy Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 2 at odds 2.86. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSA model profile. The V2 confidence band is MEDIUM, with a historical expected ROI of 4.96% across 166 similar predictions. Historical expected profitability for this profile is positive, but the edge appears more moderate. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. The market moved significantly against the initial model price before kickoff. Historically, large late odds increases may indicate external factors not fully captured by the statistical framework. High pre-match volatility suggests increased uncertainty and rapidly changing market conditions. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample53
Win Rate39.6%
Profit+3.81u
Historical Similar Predictions
ResultMatchOddExp. ROI
LOSSKalmar FF - Malmo FF2.824.96%
WINKF Drita - FK Kauno Zalgiris2.854.96%
LOSSFencibles United - East Coast Bays2.814.96%
LOSSDodoma Jiji FC - JKT Tanzania3.054.96%
WINSantamarina Tandil - Club Villa Mitre2.654.13%
LOSSSantamarina Tandil - Kimberley Mar del Plata3.014.96%
LOSSDeportes Copiapo - Santiago Wanderers2.924.96%
WINNew Zealand (W) - Haiti (W)2.864.96%
Active Similar Predictions
MatchPickOddExp. ROIKickoff
Retro FC Brasil - America RN22.703.31%30 Apr 02:30
Pick
2 @ 2.86
Kickoff
Mag 19, 2026 3:35 PM
Confidence
CONF: MEDIUM
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI 4.96% • n=166
Start
Started 63d 19h ago
Updated
Updated 64d 2h ago
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