South Melbourne vs Green Gully
📊 Match Analysis
Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.
Game Context
The model side is South Melbourne. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.
Edge: South MelbourneValue Index
Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V2) and market odds.
Odds Movement
📊 Team Form (Last 5)
Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.
Quick Analysis
The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 1.75. The V2 confidence band is LOW with an expected ROI of 1.04% based on n=5438 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Australia NPL Victoria (au). Odds movement is currently classified as Rising with High volatility.
AI Match Insight
The low odds suggest strong market confidence, and the available form indicators generally support that view. The model does not assign a strong confidence profile here, making the pick more speculative.
South Melbourne – Green Gully Betting Analysis
| Result | Match | Odd | Exp. ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| LOSS | Corpus Christi FC - Antelope Valley Alta | 1.95 | 1.04% |
| LOSS | Changchun Dazhong (W) - Shandong (W) | 1.85 | 1.04% |
| WIN | CA Talleres de Cordoba (W) - Huracan (W) | 1.90 | 1.04% |
| LOSS | Guarani de Palhoca - Nacao | 2.00 | 1.31% |
| WIN | Maitland FC - Newcastle Olympic FC | 1.84 | 1.31% |
| WIN | IFK Goteborg (W) - Trelleborgs FF (W) | 1.77 | 1.04% |
| WIN | BK Forward - Fittja IF | 1.82 | 1.04% |
| WIN | Serra Branca EC - Juazeirense | 1.89 | 1.31% |
| Match | Pick | Odd | Exp. ROI | Kickoff |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Velez Sarsfield Reserves - Newell's Reserves | 1 | 1.76 | 1.04% | 28 Jun 16:00 |
| Athletic Club MG - Avai | 1 | 1.95 | 1.31% | 28 Jun 21:00 |