Model: TIPPSH

Changchun Dazhong (W) vs Shandong (W)

PREDICTION

@ 1.84

StatusArchived prediction

KickoffGiu 24, 2026 1:00 PM

ResultLOSS1 - 1

StartStarted 48d 2h ago

V2 ConfidenceLOWExpected ROI 1.04% · n=5438

V4 ConfidenceUNKNOWNExpected ROI 0.00% · n=0

Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.

Updated Updated 48d 4h ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is Changchun Dazhong (W). This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: Changchun Dazhong (W)Goal/Shots Index — H: — | A: —

Shots Rating

Shot volume edge from recent matches.

Home edge

Shots on Target

Higher weight signal based on shots on target.

Home edge

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V2) and market odds.

26/100

Low value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)

Start odds1.81First seen

Current1.84Now

Max odds1.87Highest point

Min odds1.81Lowest point

VolatilityMediumStable range

TrendRisingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

Changchun Dazhong (W)HOME

Shandong (W)AWAY

DLWDW

Recent form

DDLLL

Avg goals scored

1.00

0.80

Defensive weakness

1.00

1.80

Shots on target for

2.80

2.00

SoT conceded pressure

2.40

5.40

Home splitD-W-W1.33 scored / 0.67 conceded

Away splitD-L-L-D0.50 scored / 1.50 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 1.84. The V2 confidence band is LOW with an expected ROI of 1.04% based on n=5438 historical similar picks. The match belongs to China Super League Women (cn). Odds movement is currently classified as Rising with Medium volatility.

Pick1

Odd1.84

V2 BandLOWROI 1.04% · n=5438

V4 BandUNKNOWNROI 0.00% · n=0

Odds TrendRising

VolatilityMedium

AI Match Insight

This looks like a competitive matchup, although the form profile gives the selected side some support. If considered, this pick should be approached with caution due to the limited historical confidence.

Current Combo momentum is mixed. Recent results show alternating performance between short-term and medium-term windows.

3D: -17.0% 7D: -0.5% 15D: 1.4% 30D: -0.2%

Model insight

Changchun Dazhong (W) – Shandong (W) Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 1 at odds 1.84. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSH model profile. The V2 confidence band is LOW, with a historical expected ROI of 1.04% across 5438 similar predictions. The model profile is supported by a broad historical sample, making the long-term estimate more informative. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. Market movement remained relatively stable before kickoff, suggesting balanced sentiment around the initial model projection. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.

Sample474

Win Rate50.4%

Profit-17.60u

Historical Similar Predictions

Result	Match	Odd	Exp. ROI
WIN	FC Koper U19 - NK Fuzinar U19	1.83	1.31%
WIN	KCCA - Kitara FC	1.88	1.04%
WIN	Drøbak/Frogn - Sandefjord 2	1.88	1.04%
LOSS	Olympic Mobiuz - Shurtan	1.90	1.04%
LOSS	Botev Vratsa - Slavia Sofia	1.93	1.04%
WIN	Carshalton Ath - Wingate & Finchley	1.83	1.04%
WIN	Coatepeque FC - Juventud Copalera	1.87	1.04%
WIN	Basel - FC Thun	1.81	1.04%

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Pick

1 @ 1.84

Kickoff

Giu 24, 2026 1:00 PM

Confidence

CONF: LOW

Exp. ROI V2

Exp. ROI 1.04% • n=5438

Start

Started 48d 2h ago

Updated

Updated 48d 4h ago