Model: TIPPSA

Sparta Katowice vs Skra Czestochowa

PREDICTION

@ 2.40

StatusArchived prediction

KickoffMag 16, 2026 2:00 PM

ResultLOSS1 - 0

StartStarted 56d ago

V2 ConfidenceLOWExpected ROI 1.92% · n=178

V4 ConfidenceUNKNOWNExpected ROI 0.00% · n=0

Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.

Updated Updated 56d 3h ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is Skra Czestochowa. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: Skra Czestochowa

Shots Rating

Rating unavailable for this archived pick.

Shots on Target

Rating unavailable for this archived pick.

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V2) and market odds.

36/100

Low value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)

Start odds3.10First seen

Current2.60Now

Max odds3.11Highest point

Min odds2.60Lowest point

VolatilityHighStable range

TrendDroppingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

Sparta KatowiceHOME

Skra CzestochowaAWAY

WLWWD

Recent form

LWLWW

Avg goals scored

0.80

1.80

Defensive weakness

0.40

1.60

Shots on target for

2.00

6.60

SoT conceded pressure

2.00

4.00

Home splitW-W-W-L1.50 scored / 0.75 conceded

Away splitL-W-W-W2.25 scored / 1.25 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 2 at odds 2.40. The V2 confidence band is LOW with an expected ROI of 1.92% based on n=178 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Poland III Liga (pl). Odds movement is currently classified as Dropping with High volatility.

Pick2

Odd2.40

V2 BandLOWROI 1.92% · n=178

V4 BandUNKNOWNROI 0.00% · n=0

Odds TrendDropping

VolatilityHigh

AI Match Insight

Although the selection comes at relatively high odds, the recent statistical profile appears more balanced than the market suggests. This selection carries a lower-confidence signal, so the risk profile remains elevated. Skra Czestochowa has produced stronger recent offensive pressure in terms of shots on target.

Current Combo momentum is mixed. Recent results show alternating performance between short-term and medium-term windows.

3D: 11.7% 7D: 9.2% 15D: -4.2% 30D: -2.8%

Model insight

Sparta Katowice – Skra Czestochowa Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 2 at odds 2.40. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSA model profile. The V2 confidence band is LOW, with a historical expected ROI of 1.92% across 178 similar predictions. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. The prediction received strong market support after the first appearance. Early prices historically produced the best long-term performance for this model profile. High pre-match volatility suggests increased uncertainty and rapidly changing market conditions. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.

Sample66

Win Rate40.9%

Profit-2.46u

Historical Similar Predictions

Result	Match	Odd	Exp. ROI
WIN	Bentleigh Greens - Altona Magic	2.29	0.84%
LOSS	Montevideo Wanderers Reserves - Penarol Reserves	2.59	0.84%
WIN	Khangarid Klub - Deren FC	2.63	0.84%
LOSS	Galway United - Derry City	2.35	0.84%
WIN	Lyn 1896 - Bryne	2.53	0.84%
LOSS	Derry City - Bohemians Dublin	2.45	0.84%
LOSS	Nunawading - Keilor Park	2.25	0.84%
WIN	ZED FC - Wadi Degla	2.54	0.84%

Pick

2 @ 2.40

Kickoff

Mag 16, 2026 2:00 PM

Confidence

CONF: LOW

Exp. ROI V2

Exp. ROI 1.92% • n=178

Start

Started 56d ago

Updated

Updated 56d 3h ago