Model: TIPPSA

Deportes Limache vs Universidad de Chile

PREDICTION

@ 2.03

StatusArchived prediction

KickoffAgo 16, 2026 1:30 AM

ResultWIN1 - 3

StartStarted 22h 32m ago

V2 ConfidenceLOWExpected ROI 1.21% · n=228

V4 ConfidenceLOWExpected ROI 1.21% · n=228

Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.

Updated Updated 1d 5h ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is Universidad de Chile. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: Universidad de ChileGoal/Shots Index — H: 0.042 | A: 0.042

Shots Rating

Shot volume edge from recent matches.

Away edge

Shots on Target

Higher weight signal based on shots on target.

Away edge

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V4) and market odds.

29/100

Low value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)

Start odds2.06First seen

Current2.03Now

Max odds2.17Highest point

Min odds2.03Lowest point

VolatilityMediumStable range

TrendDroppingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

Deportes LimacheHOME

Universidad de ChileAWAY

LWLLW

Recent form

WWWWW

Avg goals scored

2.00

Defensive weakness

2.20

0.60

Shots on target for

6.20

6.40

SoT conceded pressure

8.00

3.60

Home splitL-W-D-L-L1.40 scored / 2.00 conceded

Away splitW-W-W-W-D2.40 scored / 1.40 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 2 at odds 2.03. The V4 confidence band is LOW with an expected ROI of 1.21% based on n=228 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Chile Liga de Primera (cl). Odds movement is currently classified as Dropping with Medium volatility.

Pick2

Odd2.03

V2 BandLOWROI 1.21% · n=228

V4 BandLOWROI 1.21% · n=228

Odds TrendDropping

VolatilityMedium

AI Match Insight

This looks like a competitive matchup, although the form profile gives the selected side some support. The model does not assign a strong confidence profile here, making the pick more speculative.

Current Combo momentum is mixed. Recent results show alternating performance between short-term and medium-term windows.

3D: -21.0% 7D: -19.0% 15D: 1.2% 30D: 4.2%

Model insight

Deportes Limache – Universidad de Chile Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 2 at odds 2.03. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSA model profile. Both V2 and V4 profiles currently show LOW confidence, with historical expected ROI values of 1.21% and 1.21%. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. Market movement remained relatively stable before kickoff, suggesting balanced sentiment around the initial model projection. Moderate odds volatility indicates some market disagreement during the pre-match phase. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.

Sample107

Win Rate50.5%

Profit+5.68u

Historical Similar Predictions

Result	Match	Odd	Exp. ROI
LOSS	St Mochtas - Malahide Utd	2.20	1.21%
LOSS	Wenzhou FC - Shenzhen 2028	2.03	1.21%
LOSS	Pors Grenland - Bjarg	2.20	1.21%
WIN	Moggill - Newmarket	2.06	1.21%
WIN	MFK Skalica - FC Kosice	2.17	1.21%
LOSS	Bamber Bridge - Ashton Utd	2.09	1.21%
WIN	Vag FK - Mandalskameratene	2.10	1.21%
LOSS	Tobol Kostanay - Partizan Belgrade	2.24	1.21%

Pick

2 @ 2.03

Kickoff

Ago 16, 2026 1:30 AM

Confidence

CONF: LOW

Exp. ROI V2

Exp. ROI 1.21% • n=228

Confidence V4

CONF V4: LOW

Exp. ROI V4

1.21% • n=228

Start

Started 22h 32m ago

Updated

Updated 1d 5h ago