SR Reykjavik – Skallagrimur Borgarnes

Model: TIPPSH

SR Reykjavik vs Skallagrimur Borgarnes

PREDICTION
1
@ 3.30
StatusUpcoming
KickoffLug 27, 2026 12:00 AM
ResultPending
StartStarts in 32m
V2 ConfidenceNONEExpected ROI -1.88% · n=230
V4 ConfidenceMEDIUMExpected ROI 2.70% · n=74
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 1h 31m ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is SR Reykjavik. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: SR ReykjavikGoal/Shots Index — H: — | A: —

Shots Rating

H
A
i

Shot volume edge from recent matches.

Home edge

Shots on Target

H
A
i

Higher weight signal based on shots on target.

Home edge

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V4) and market odds.

47/100
Low value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds2.63First seen
Current3.27Now
Max odds3.35Highest point
Min odds2.63Lowest point
VolatilityHighStable range
TrendRisingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

SR ReykjavikHOME
VS
Skallagrimur BorgarnesAWAY
WWL
Recent form
DL
Avg goals scored
2.33
3.00
Defensive weakness
1.33
4.50
Shots on target for
6.33
11.50
SoT conceded pressure
2.67
12.00
Home splitW-L2.00 scored / 2.00 conceded
Away splitD-L3.00 scored / 4.50 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 3.30. The V4 confidence band is MEDIUM with an expected ROI of 2.70% based on n=74 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Iceland 5 Deild (is). Odds movement is currently classified as Rising with High volatility.

Pick1
Odd3.30
V2 BandNONEROI -1.88% · n=230
V4 BandMEDIUMROI 2.70% · n=74
Odds TrendRising
VolatilityHigh

AI Match Insight

Although the odds are relatively high, SR Reykjavik shows enough recent performance support to make the pick interesting from a risk/reward perspective. This selection carries a lower-confidence signal, so the risk profile remains elevated.

Current Combo momentum is mixed. Recent results show alternating performance between short-term and medium-term windows.
3D: -12.3% 7D: -3.2% 15D: 9.8% 30D: 20.9%
Model insight

SR Reykjavik – Skallagrimur Borgarnes Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 1 at odds 3.30. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSH model profile. The V2 confidence band is NONE, with a historical expected ROI of -1.88% across 230 similar predictions. The V4 confidence band is MEDIUM, with a historical expected ROI of 2.70% across 74 historical samples. Historical expected profitability for this profile is positive, but the edge appears more moderate. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. The market moved significantly against the initial model price before kickoff. Historically, large late odds increases may indicate external factors not fully captured by the statistical framework. High pre-match volatility suggests increased uncertainty and rapidly changing market conditions. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample14
Win Rate42.9%
Profit+4.99u
Historical Similar Predictions
ResultMatchOddExp. ROI
WINUCD - Cork City3.11-2.37%
LOSSHume City - Oakleigh Cannons3.27-1.88%
LOSSRio Barra FC - Tigres do Brasil3.34-1.88%
WINBenfica Macau - Macau Chiba FC3.27-1.88%
LOSSBrazil (W) - USA (W)3.09-2.37%
LOSSSuva FC - Lautoka FC3.15-2.37%
WINVPS Vaasa - HJK Helsinki3.32-1.88%
WINLoveledge Nagoya (W) - Shizuoka SSU Asregina (W)3.10-3.20%
Pick
1 @ 3.30
Kickoff
Lug 27, 2026 12:00 AM
Confidence
CONF: NONE
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI -1.88% • n=230
Confidence V4
Exp. ROI V4
2.70% • n=74
Start
Starts in 32m
Updated
Updated 1h 31m ago
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