KA Akureyri – Thor Akureyri

Model: TIPPSH

KA Akureyri vs Thor Akureyri

PREDICTION
1
@ 1.75
StatusUpcoming
KickoffLug 27, 2026 11:15 PM
ResultPending
StartStarts in 23h 46m
V2 ConfidenceNONEExpected ROI -7.35% · n=1010
V4 ConfidenceNONEExpected ROI -7.35% · n=1010
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 12m ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is KA Akureyri. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: KA AkureyriGoal/Shots Index — H: 0.022 | A: 0.051

Shots Rating

H
A
i

Shot volume edge from recent matches.

Home edge

Shots on Target

H
A
i

Higher weight signal based on shots on target.

Home edge

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V4) and market odds.

4/100
Poor value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds1.70First seen
Current1.75Now
Max odds1.75Highest point
Min odds1.69Lowest point
VolatilityMediumStable range
TrendRisingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

KA AkureyriHOME
VS
Thor AkureyriAWAY
DWLLL
Recent form
WLDLD
Avg goals scored
1.80
1.80
Defensive weakness
2.60
3.00
Shots on target for
5.40
3.00
SoT conceded pressure
6.20
8.20
Home splitW-L-L-L-W1.80 scored / 1.80 conceded
Away splitL-D-L-L-L0.40 scored / 3.60 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 1.75. The V4 confidence band is NONE with an expected ROI of -7.35% based on n=1010 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Iceland Premier League (is). Odds movement is currently classified as Rising with Medium volatility.

Pick1
Odd1.75
V2 BandNONEROI -7.35% · n=1010
V4 BandNONEROI -7.35% · n=1010
Odds TrendRising
VolatilityMedium

AI Match Insight

At a short price, the selection appears more probability-based than value-driven. This selection carries a lower-confidence signal, so the risk profile remains elevated. KA Akureyri is also generating more shots on target, adding offensive support to the pick.

Current Combo momentum is mixed. Recent results show alternating performance between short-term and medium-term windows.
3D: -10.4% 7D: -3.2% 15D: 9.8% 30D: 20.9%
Model insight

KA Akureyri – Thor Akureyri Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 1 at odds 1.75. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSH model profile. Both V2 and V4 profiles currently show NONE confidence, with historical expected ROI values of -7.35% and -7.35%. Historical performance for this profile has been negative or unstable, so this signal should be treated with additional caution. The model profile is supported by a broad historical sample, making the long-term estimate more informative. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. Market movement remained relatively stable before kickoff, suggesting balanced sentiment around the initial model projection. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample251
Win Rate57.8%
Profit-7.39u
Historical Similar Predictions
ResultMatchOddExp. ROI
LOSSCA San Miguel - Acassuso1.74-9.21%
WINTobol Kostanay - FK Atyrau1.71-4.66%
WINPPJ U21 - Atlantis U211.67-9.21%
LOSSMoss - Raufoss1.68-4.66%
WINSarpsborg - Ham-Kam1.65-7.35%
WINPalmerston Rovers FC - Garuda FC1.66-9.21%
WINHouston Dynamo - Austin FC1.74-4.66%
LOSSIsloch - FC Baranovichi1.74-7.35%
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Pick
1 @ 1.75
Kickoff
Lug 27, 2026 11:15 PM
Confidence
CONF: NONE
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI -7.35% • n=1010
Confidence V4
Exp. ROI V4
-7.35% • n=1010
Start
Starts in 23h 46m
Updated
Updated 12m ago
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