Standard Liege – Genk

Model: TIPPSA

Standard Liege – Genk

PREDICTION
2
@ 2.21
StatusArchived prediction
KickoffMag 16, 2026 8:15 PM
ResultLOSS0 - 0
StartStarted 10d 5h ago
V2 ConfidenceLOWExpected ROI 0.58% · n=409
V4 ConfidenceUNKNOWNExpected ROI 0.00% · n=0
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 10d 7h ago

Team Form & Goal Trends

Recent form based on completed matches before kickoff.

Metric Standard Liege Genk
Last 5 form D-W-W-D-L D-W-L-D-D
Avg goals scored 1.80 1.00
Avg goals conceded 0.80 0.80
Home/Away form D-W-L-L (home) D-L-W-W (away)
Home/Away avg goals 1.00 scored / 1.25 conceded 1.00 scored / 1.00 conceded
Shots on target 4.60 for / 4.60 against 6.20 for / 4.20 against
Home/Away shots on target 4.50 for / 5.00 against (home) 5.25 for / 3.50 against (away)

AI Match Insight

With no dominant recent form edge, the pick should be interpreted mainly through the model's historical profile. If considered, this pick should be approached with caution due to the limited historical confidence. Genk has produced stronger recent offensive pressure in terms of shots on target.

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds2.18First seen
Current2.38Now
Max odds2.38Highest point
Min odds2.18Lowest point
VolatilityHighStable range
TrendRisingShort term
Model insight

Standard Liege – Genk Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 2 at odds 2.21. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSA model profile. The V2 confidence band is LOW, with a historical expected ROI of 0.58% across 409 similar predictions. The model profile is supported by a broad historical sample, making the long-term estimate more informative. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. The market moved significantly against the initial model price before kickoff. Historically, large late odds increases may indicate external factors not fully captured by the statistical framework. Moderate odds volatility indicates some market disagreement during the pre-match phase. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample86
Win Rate51.2%
Profit+7.73u
Historical Similar Predictions
ResultMatchOddExp. ROI
WINChengdu Rongcheng Reserves - Guizhou Zhucheng Athletic2.260.84%
WINUnam Pumas - Cruz Azul2.380.84%
LOSSNottm Forest - Bournemouth2.021.21%
LOSSUsti N Orlici - Slovan Liberec B2.031.21%
WINFrem - Holbæk2.390.84%
LOSSPFC Oleksandria - FC Kryvbas Kriviy Rih2.270.84%
LOSSRebordosa - Leca2.360.84%
WINBrondby - FC Copenhagen2.290.84%
Pick
2 @ 2.21
Kickoff
Mag 16, 2026 8:15 PM
Confidence
CONF: LOW
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI 0.58% • n=409
Start
Started 10d 5h ago
Updated
Updated 10d 7h ago
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