Stranraer vs FC Edinburgh
📊 Match Analysis
Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.
Game Context
The model side is Stranraer. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.
Edge: StranraerGoal/Shots Index — H: -0.023 | A: -0.169Value Index
Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V2) and market odds.
Odds Movement
📊 Team Form (Last 5)
Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.
Quick Analysis
The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 1.91. The V2 confidence band is LOW with an expected ROI of 1.04% based on n=5438 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Scotland League Cup (gb). Odds movement is currently classified as Rising with High volatility.
AI Match Insight
The matchup looks relatively balanced, so the value of the pick depends more on the model profile than on a clear form advantage. The model does not assign a strong confidence profile here, making the pick more speculative. Stranraer is also generating more shots on target, adding offensive support to the pick.
Stranraer – FC Edinburgh Betting Analysis
| Result | Match | Odd | Exp. ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| LOSS | Penarol Reserves - Racing Club de Montevideo Reserves | 2.13 | 1.04% |
| WIN | Flint City Bucks - Steel City | 1.81 | 1.04% |
| LOSS | Arsenal Tula - Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk | 1.79 | 1.04% |
| WIN | South East United FC - Launceston United | 1.95 | 1.04% |
| WIN | St Pauli - HNK Gorica | 2.01 | 1.04% |
| LOSS | Changchun Dazhong (W) - Sichuan Jiannanchun Women | 2.13 | 1.04% |
| LOSS | Shaanxi Zhidan (W) - Zhejiang Hangzhou (W) | 2.00 | 1.04% |
| WIN | Flamengo SP U23 - Matonense U23 | 1.75 | 1.04% |
| Match | Pick | Odd | Exp. ROI | Kickoff |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Velez Sarsfield Reserves - Racing Club Reserves | 1 | 1.99 | 1.31% | 05 Jul 16:00 |
| Macara - Deportivo Cuenca | 1 | 2.01 | 1.04% | 22 Jul 21:00 |
| Athletic Club MG - Sao Bernardo SP | 1 | 2.14 | 1.04% | 24 Jul 00:30 |
| Birmingham Legion FC - New Mexico United | 1 | 1.97 | 1.04% | 25 Jul 02:00 |
| KuPS Kuopio - VPS Vaasa | 1 | 1.83 | 1.04% | 25 Jul 16:00 |
| FK Zeleziarne Podbrezova - MFK Zemplin Michalovce | 1 | 1.79 | 1.04% | 25 Jul 20:30 |
| Millonarios - Atletico Bucaramanga | 1 | 1.88 | 1.31% | 26 Jul 01:10 |
| Vasco da Gama - Mirassol | 1 | 2.11 | 1.04% | 26 Jul 01:30 |